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Nate Silver, the statistics buff and Obama supporter whose poll analyses and projections have made him a media favorite, looked at the post-Palin polls and mused that "perhaps the partisan composition of the electorate had never shifted as much from 2004 as it has appeared to."
If that shift was never as large as earlier polls suggested, and if the Palin effect continues to energize Republicans and win over independents, then the Democratic panic may have only just begun.
Robert Stacy McCain is co-author (with Lynn Vincent) of Donkey Cons: Sex, Crime, and Corruption in the Democratic Party. He blogs at The Other McCain.
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