By Roger Kaplan on 9.2.08 @ 12:07AM
Nicolas Sarkozy is widely despised -- a sure sign he’s doing fine job.
PARIS -- President Nicolas Sarkozy is widely despised in France,
and this contempt extends from left to right (to the degree these
categories still exist). To me that is a good sign. The only time a
politician should have high ratings is on the day voters go to the
polls. The rest of the time, the more he is despised the better he
is doing his job.
The conventional contempt expressed for this man includes
resentment of his own scarcely disguised contempt for the ordinary
conventions expected of politicians and statesmen. Here we see
something akin to the dislike many Washingtonians -- I mean the
official and para-official classes of permanent high-level
boondogglers and those who swarm around them for a living -- felt
for the loutish behavior of the people around Jimmy Carter: the
bluejeans, the cowboy boots, the provocative red-neckism.
The difference of course is that with those Georgians, the poor
manners went hand in hand with an insufferable sanctimony that was
itself discredited by the shallow public policies the Carter
administration proposed. Sarkozy and his ministers are not
sanctimonious, though the president himself has been reported to be
impolite, for instance by responding to a heckler with an obscenity
and by checking his text messages while in audience with Pope
Benedict. (Sarkozy, though divorced, remains a Catholic.) However,
Sarkozy's people are not holier-than-thou. They call attention to
themselves, in the image of the president, by behaving like French
people of their generation, for instance taking unwed motherhood in
stride. But they are proposing reforms that are driven by liberal,
as we would say conservative, principles: more freedom to get and
do whatever you want, and tell the state to get lost.
This may or may not work in France. It may not work due to the
mysteries of French nature, or perhaps due to the insufficient
energy the Sarkozists are putting into it or the means they are
offering the institutions in need of reform, or even for other
reasons. However, in the first year and a half of this five-year
(down from the traditional seven, arguably a mistake) term, the
Sarkozists have sought to shake things up.
ON THE INTERNATIONAL SCENE, the question that Americans often ask
is this: When is Europe, the entity, going to "pull its weight"?
This question has been posed at least since 1953-54, when the U.S.
quietly promoted the central political issue of the day, which was
West German rearmament. This would have been possible by means of
the European Defense Community, in practice a French-German army,
the strategic counterpart to the newly founded European Coal and
Steel Community, ancestor of today's EU. However, the Communists
and the Gaullists opposed the creation of the EDC, and as a result
Germany rearmed under NATO command.
It is impossible to say if "Europe" would have "pulled its own
weight" more, differently, or the same as it did anyway over the
next half century. What is certain is that "Europe" did not fly any
airborne troops to defend little Georgia, any more than NATO or
anyone else sent arms and men to little Hungary many years ago.
However, Sarkozy, seeing that France has its turn this summer at
the rotating EU presidency, flew to Moscow, thence to Tbilisi, and
brokered a cease-fire. Maybe the Russians already had what they
wanted. Maybe, though, they would have rolled on to Tbilisi and
done what they did, when they were known as Soviets, in Budapest,
52 years ago, not to mention what they have done elsewhere in the
Caucasus more lately.
The Russians chose the moment to attack Georgia very well. Say
what you will about their reputation for brutality, they were
subtle in their timing. They let the Georgian leadership accumulate
the provocations -- which I for one am willing to believe included
some unnecessary clumsiness with regard to the pro-Russian
Ossetians -- and advertise their pro-Occidentalism. They waited for
the most openly pro-American West European leader -- Nicolas
Sarkozy -- to take over the revolving European Union presidency.
They let the EU member states, heavily dependent on Russian oil and
natural gas, display the full range of their energy-policy
disarray. And of course they let the Olympic Games begin, not only
in order to have a handy distraction, but to underscore that the
West can talk a big talk, but. Had there not been a lot of hype
about China's support for a cruel regime in Khartoum? Had there not
been a lot of huffing and puffing about what would happen if they
relented not in their persecution of poor little Tibet? Eh? I am
told -- it may be apocryphal -- a Russian foreign ministry official
asked a French diplomat in Moscow, who was lodging a protest when
the city of Gori was being pounded into the Caucasian dust, what
his country did when the same thing happened in 1923. And if he did
not care to remember, then why should the Russians expect the
"West" to do anything now?
To us, they simply said, Remember what you did to Grenada? Cuba?
Nicaragua? Forget about moral asymmetry. This is the national
interest.
IN ANY EVENT, Sarkozy flew to Moscow, and thence to Tbilisi. Empty
symbolism? Heads of state on diplomatic missions have been known to
look out the window and see their transports' engines exploding.
The real problem, to his critics, is that he seems to want to go
into harm's way and take this once-martial nation with him. Why
should we die for Georgia? Why die for Afghanistan?
As their grandparents and great-grandparents said, Why die for
Danzig?
Quite. Perhaps the question is a fair one. But if so, then
surely you have to grant those who would say "Because, its safety
is also ours..." a right to be heard. You sometimes get the
impression that Sarkozy's opponents -- left and right both -- want
to head him off with something that is basically not an argument at
all: It's the Americans' problem.
And who knows, they may be right. Whether, for better or worse,
Nicolas Sarkozy can change this mind-set remains to be seen, but he
seems at the present determined to go against it and damn the
polls. The Socialist Party, which represents about 20 percent of
the electorate, and the assorted "rest of the left" and the extreme
isolationist right, which between them represent 10 percent, are
staking out "anti-war" positions, calling for the withdrawal of
French forces (some three thousand men) in Afghanistan. The
president's UMP party is disciplined though not necessarily solid
on this issue, and Sarkozy has let it be known (another example,
say his critics, of his extreme vulgarity) that a second term might
interest him less than cashing in.
(Correction: The patron at my neighborhood
bistrot, mentioned in an earlier
dispatch, reminds me that the correct spelling is Perigourdine,
with a d, Apologies and again, this is not, repeat not, a
placement ad for this excellent little place located on the rue des
Ecoles in the 5th.)
topics:
Sports, Russia, European Union, NATO, Energy, Oil