By The Prowler on 8.25.08 @ 12:08AM
Obama's bad experience shows in Biden pick. Plus: A conservative scheme to embarrass McCain.
BAD EXPERIENCE
In selecting Sen. Joe Biden as his running mate,
Sen. Barack Obama may have selected the safe pick,
but according to several campaign insiders, Biden wasn't
necessarily his first or even his personal choice.
"He really wanted [Kansas Gov. Kathleen]
Sebelius," says one Obama insider with knowledge
of the Democrat candidate's vetting process. "And if our European
tour had played better here at home, she might have been the
pick."
But, says the insider, the campaign's internal polling indicated
what the public polling indicated -- that Obama failed in his
European sojourn to build out his foreign policy credentials. "We
needed the foreign policy on the bottom of the ticket more than we
want to admit," says the insider.
Sebelius would have helped Obama in several other ways
domestically, particularly in the Midwest, where her success as a
moderate governor in a borderline "red" state would have perhaps
diluted his extreme leftist tendencies.
But beyond his failure to create the impression that he had any
foreign policy experience, Obama's polling also indicated that
Sebelius's presence on the ticket probably further damaged his
relationship with Hillary Clinton supporters. "We
have enough problems with them as it is. Putting Sebelius on the
bottom of the ticket would have been another stick in the eye,"
says another adviser.
Yet, say those with knowledge, with all that, Obama would still
come back to Sebelius as the first option. And that, say some
insiders, indicates the influence inside the campaign of former
Senate majority leader Tom Daschle. Not only do
his former aides and advisers fill the top ranks of Obama's
campaign, but Daschle himself is being credited with helping Obama
through the selection process, and he steered Obama toward Biden
over other options that were on the table, including New Mexico
Gov. Bill Richardson and Sen. Evan
Bayh.
Bayh, by the way, was less than happy with the use of his name
to steer some reporters away from the Biden pick in the days
leading up to the announcement. Obama aides had "Obama-Bayh" bumper
stickers produced in small numbers and leaked to the press last
Friday, and even constructed a rudimentary "About Evan Bayh" web
page on the Obama website.
Biden, while helping Obama with his foreign policy experience,
also exposes the ticket to a thicket of thorny issues, not the
least of which is Biden's relationship with his brother James, who
runs a lobbying shop here in town, where Senator Biden's son Hunter
is also a partner.
The pair have actively sought clients that might have business
before committees that Biden serves on in the Senate, and have
dabbled in hedge funds, which, say Democrats on K Street, did not
go well. Biden's other son from his first marriage is scheduled to
be deployed to Iraq in early October, an event the Obama campaign
has factored heavily into its early October campaign schedule.
"Biden is very well aware that his son's deployment is going to
be a big part of what we do in October. It's part of our narrative
and we're going to milk it for all it's worth," says one of the
Obama advisers. "Republicans would do the same."
MESSAGE TO McCAIN
Several prominent conservatives, one of whom serves on the board of
the Arlington Group, a coalition of social-conservative
organizations, and is a delegate to the Republican convention, say
that should the Republican platform currently being shaped in
Minneapolis and Sen. John McCain's vice
presidential selection not reflect the views of the conservative
movement, they will attempt to mount a challenge to McCain's
nomination on the floor of the Republican convention next week.
"I'm talking about more than roll call vote," says the Arlington
Group board member. "I'm talking about putting another name in
nomination and sending Senator McCain and conservatives across the
country a message: we're not going to sit back and surrender our
party just for a political victory. Senator McCain says he'd rather
lose an election than lose the war in Iraq. I feel the same way
about my party, and I know other conservatives think that way
too."
A floor challenge would require the majority of delegates from a
total of six states, one to make a motion to open the floor to a
new nomination, and five others to essentially second the motion.
But it would also require good timing and some luck. The convention
schedule -- even when not televised -- is tightly filled and
heavily scripted, and it isn't clear that the secretary of the
convention would make it easy for such a motion to be placed.
That, and the notion of getting the majorities of six states to
agree on such a motion, which would shake the convention, makes
such a challenge highly unlikely, perhaps even impossible.
"Right now there are only two ways to send McCain a message: the
convention or the ballot box in November. I'd rather send the
message sooner rather than later, because we can't afford to allow
Obama and Biden to win," says the delegate, who adds that the
decision to put a moderate to liberal on the bottom of the ticket
-- "a Romney or a Giuliani or a Lieberman" -- would probably be
enough for him to seek help in creating a parliamentary spectacle
at the convention.
"Senator McCain is taking conservatives for granted," says
another delegate, who is not looking to embarrass McCain, but who
is unhappy with the way the campaign has dealt with conservatives.
"He expects us to fall in line, but look at the keynote speaker:
Giuliani. He's not only a liberal Republican, he ran an awful
campaign. He's not a party standard-bearer. You have moderates
controlling the convention and the podium and then conservatives
get five minutes a night. You get the sense that McCain is
embarrassed by the conservative values he claims to believe
in."
topics:
Foreign Policy, John McCain, Barack Obama, Joe Biden, Hillary Clinton, Business, Iraq, NATO