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Rhode Island - projected 8 Obama/13 Clinton. Results 8/13
Vermont -- projected 9/6. Results 9/6
Ohio -- projected 46% Obama/Clinton 53%. Delegate split 68/73 Actual - 92% counted - remaining is in pro-Obama territory, but current % split is 43/55 so that would make the delegate split 65/76 -- a swing of just 3 delegates from their projection.
What I thought was really interesting that in Ohio -- from a reporter who covered it three weeks before the campaigns got there was the racism that was evident in the Appalachia and other small areas. The exit polls said that 20% said that race played a factor and three of four of those went for Hillary. When I broke that down last night of the votes cast, that looked like about 300,000 votes. Texas also -- 10% said race was a factor and those broke for Hillary. So, I guess racism is a small, but significant firewall for Hillary. And you have to admit -- read the reader's responses in the Ohio newspapers and the "60 Minutes" segment the other night.
Texas was projected to be 47/51 -- and results right now - with 91% counted are 48/51. Their delegate projection was 92/101 -- I guess we'll see in the morning how close that is. So, with that much accuracy and Barack's superdelegate count sitting at 194 and Hillary's at 238 tonight, if the rest of the race continued as the Obama projections predict and he and Hillary split the superdelegates -- (not too likely since there were 50 ready to break his way according to Tom Brokaw); Barack would have 1693 to her 1536.5 plus 182 superdelegates -- and have 2069 to her 1936. Yes - he still has 133 more delegates in the end.
So what has Hillary's three weeks of kitchen sink tactics done?
Well, she's added to the number of Hillary-haters, will definitely
lose future voters, and has changed the polls so that now instead
of Obama easily beating McCain and even Hillary beating McCain,
that McCain without campaigning is now beating them both! Rush
Limbaugh couldn't be prouder! I just watched MSNBC and they showed
George Bush coming out with a great big grin and actually
TAP-DANCING while he was waiting for reporters to give his McCain
endorsement.
-- L.L.
THE REAL ODD COUPLE
Re: John Tabin's McCain-Somebody
'08:
McCain ought to pick Zell Miller. That would be balance.
-- P. Aaron Jones
Sadr City, Michigan
McCain can choose who he wants as a running mate, but if he's smart and thinking strategically he'll pick a conservative with one or more of these attributes -- ties to the Midwest, someone who is youngish, a woman or a person of color. If it weren't for his short time as Governor of Louisiana Bobby Jindal would be the perfect choice (young and a person of color), but he's desperately needed at home to clean up the typical liberal Democrat mess and corruption in Louisiana. By his efforts Governor Jindal may be able to help unseat incompetent Mary Landrieu too.
Whoever McCain chooses he has got to think of the future. Until the conservative melt down (that began in 2005) Republicans seemed on track to accomplish the national political realignment Ronald Regan and George W. Bush worked so hard for. Thanks to the conservative crackup not only is McCain the GOP's Presidential nominee, but Democrats have been reinvigorated. The "political clock" cannot be allowed to go backwards where Democrats control Congress for another four decades. Despite his political passivity McCain has got to work to defeat Democrats and regain Republican majorities in Congress.
The current Democrat Congress is as despised as their corrupt
1990's brethren (the most unpopular modern Congress). Despite
predictions of gloom and doom for Republicans in 2008 that gives
the GOP an opportunity to make gains if McCain can bring himself to
think like a party leader and not just a Presidential candidate. He
needs to learn from Ronald Reagan and George W. Bush (who defied
political history and predictions until the conservative crackup)
and work to build on the Democrat's negatives to help Republicans.
He needs to campaign hard not only for himself, but Republican
Senators who are presently vulnerable. The success of a McCain
Presidency hinges on this as much as his policies.
-- Michael Tomlinson
There is another scenario that Mr. Tabin might want to consider.
Suppose Senator Obama loses the Democrat nomination and is offered
the V.P. by Senator Clinton or he is denied altogether. And suppose
V.P. Cheney decides to step down, let's say for health reasons, and
the highest ranking Republican in government, Secretary of State
Rice, becomes the V.P. Nominee McCain's election chances would
certainly improve and down-ballot Republican candidates for the
House and Senate would be elated.
-- Howard Lohmuller
Seabrook,Texas
What difference does McCain's running mate make? He is going to
lose in November no matter who he picks.
-- Paul Martell
NOT SUPERSONIC
Re: Michael Brendan Dougherty's Dunkless in
Seattle:
What the writer left out was that Seattle fans did not support
the team; regardless of the Key Arena lease, without a fan base
attending games there is no reason for a team's existence. Oklahoma
City has proven it will support the NBA with a fan base and
deserves the team more than a thankless Seattle, which is what
Comm. Stern appears to appreciate.
-- Steve Shaver
Attorney at Law
Dallas, Texas
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