By Russ Ferguson on 3.4.08 @ 12:07AM
The youth vote is set to play a big role in this election.
Corporate America has known it for years. Advertise to young
people and they get excited and buy things. Lots of things. But
until now that same mindset has failed to reach presidential
campaigns.
Perhaps this is because young people have generally failed to
get to the polls and vote. They watch MTV's coverage of elections,
they talk about voting, sometimes they even register to vote -- but
they fail to actually do it.
But something has changed. Suddenly campaigns are paying
attention to young people and young people are paying attention to
campaigns.
As Barack Obama put it, "We have young people who have never had
a reason to participate until now." Hillary Clinton is crowding
young supporters on stage at her rallies, so they are standing
behind her on television. She said on 60 Minutes that one
of her goals is to "set some really big vision that young people
can buy into."
During Rudy Giuliani's concession speech in Florida, he noted
the heightened attention from the young. "You've participated in
that process -- particularly the young people here," he said.
A new generation is just now becoming of voting age. A
generation that is more well-connected and has more people its
members consider their close friends than any generation before it.
That makes this generation more valuable to campaigns than the
young people of the past.
WHAT DOES THIS large circle of friends have to do with elections?
Everything. Nothing influences and persuades a voter more than
talking with someone they hold in confidence.
No amount of campaign money, advertising, or door-to-door
canvassing can beat being convinced by someone you consider a
friend. With more friends, there is more influence, and technology
is making it easier to get excited about politics.
This is a generation in which one can consider him or herself to
have hundreds of close friends. The technology that these young
people have glommed on to has expanded their network of friends far
beyond any generation before. Consequently, young people can create
momentum among the young -- quickly.
Social networking has allowed members of this generation to keep
in touch with a large number of people, even after not seeing them
for years. Elementary school classmates are suddenly reconnected,
even though they go to different colleges across the country from
one another.
Instant messaging allows the youth to talk to eight or nine of
their friends at once -- while surfing the Internet, doing
homework, or social networking -- allowing them to keep up with far
more friends than phone calls could possibly allow.
They can text message a group of people on the fly, make a few
cell phone calls, and have a social event planned in minutes,
bringing together a number of people that may not know each other
at the outset. Odds are, they will be friends by the end. This will
be solidified by that facebook.com friend request that will come
shortly after the first meeting.
THE UPSHOT IS that suddenly young people matter to politics,
because they influence a large number of votes. What are they
looking for in a candidate?
Not all young people are looking for the same thing. Every
demographic that exists in America also exists among America's
youth, along with every political view and every opinion. But,
controlling for everything else, some things do seem to prevail
among young people.
Facebook.com, one of the most popular social networking sites,
includes pages for candidates where users can indicate their
support. Barack Obama had 533, 684 supporters upon writing this
article, Hillary Clinton had 114,891, and John McCain had
61,746.
That means, at least by looking at this un-scientific data, that
Senator Obama is particularly popular among this social networking
generation -- over four and a half times more popular than rival
Hillary Clinton, and eight and a half times more popular than his
perhaps-future-rival John McCain.
While older voters tend to care more about what a candidate has
done in the past, young people care more about what a candidate
plans to do in the future. As this generation constantly battles
with the inevitable truth that the young start on the bottom rung
of the ladder, the young have a special respect for those who excel
and climb that ladder quickly. It goes hand-in-hand with the common
dream among young people for instant fame and instant success --
the same reason we buy so heavily into reality TV and the
blogosphere.
Like all voters, young people identify with the candidate that
is most like them. For us, that is the candidate that is optimistic
and excited about the future. The candidate that knows America is
the best country in the world and believes that this nation's best
days still lie ahead.
Young people do not ascribe to the cynical view that politics in
Washington will always be dirty, partisan, and underhanded. Young
people believe that positive change simply requires new
thinking.
On top of all of this, emotion plays a major role. Young people
like to connect with a candidate, and once they do they will use
their wide array of connections to gather supporters from all
over.
That is not to say that every young person comes to the same
conclusion about what candidate to support; certainly the young are
more willing to cross party lines than their older counterparts. It
is not uncommon to hear support crossing party lines as candidates
drop out of the race. Many avid supporters of one of the Democrats
plan to vote for John McCain if their candidate loses the primary
-- and vice-versa.
In their race for the White House in the 2008 election, the
campaigns have paid more attention to young people than ever
before. And it's working. Just as corporate America has young
people spending money, some lucky candidate will have millions of
young people casting votes come November.
topics:
John McCain, Barack Obama, Hillary Clinton, Television, NATO