By George H. Wittman on 2.7.08 @ 12:07AM
President Karzai doesn't want more NATO troops, but he needs them.
About the same time as the visiting German defense minister was
receiving a NATO briefing on the need for Berlin to increase its
Afghan contingent, President Hamid Karzai was giving an interview
to the German newspaper Die Welt in which he argued
against the need for additional NATO forces in Afghanistan.
"I'm not sure that sending more troops is the right answer," he
was quoted as saying. "More than anything else, we need help to
rebuild our human capital...our army, our police force, our
administration structure, our judiciary and so on."
No wonder the NATO command finds it difficult to work with the
Afghan government in the fight against the Taliban. Karzai, an
intelligent and sophisticated leader of considerable personal
courage, has decided that he needs to establish his independence
from the very political and military instruments that have kept him
in power -- and most likely, alive.
The assignment of Lord Paddy Ashdown to a similar role he had
held in Bosnia as a special United Nations envoy was dropped at the
last moment after negative remarks by Karzai were leaked at the
annual economic forum in Davos. Ashdown had been quite successful
in the special assignment in the Balkans and his willingness to
take on the ticklish Afghan assignment was greeted internationally
with considerable hope -- except by the president of
Afghanistan.
Hamid Karzai has been pursuing a rather contrary game plan, to
say the least. An American project to eradicate the opium poppy
crop through aerial spraying was blocked by the office of the
Afghan president. Karzai then went public with an attack on the
British military/civil efforts in poppy-growing Helmand province as
"counter productive."
THIS POSTURING by a leader who has suffered from local press
attacks as a lackey of the Americans and British may be
understandable. But however clever this gambit may appear to him
and his advisers, it is extremely dangerous at a time when both
American and British politicians are looking hard at their nations'
military commitments in the Middle East.
To add to this diplomatic mess was the recent comment to an
American reporter by the U.S. Secretary of Defense, Robert Gates:
"I am worried we have some military forces that don't know how to
do counter-insurgency operations [in Afghanistan]." This rare
foot-in-mouth display by the usually circumspect Gates brought
instant reactions from British, Canadian, and Dutch
officialdom.
"Bloody outrageous," fumed Patrick Mercer, a British
Conservative MP and former Army officer. The reaction from Canada
and the Netherlands, to put it mildly, was less restrained. As can
be imagined, the Pentagon beat a hasty retreat indicating that in
no way did the Secretary mean to malign these nations' troops who
just happen to have been the only NATO allies carrying on any
serious fighting in the Taliban-infested battle area of south
Afghanistan.
Gates's unfortunate comments indirectly insulted the elite units
of Canadian and Dutch special operations forces and, most
illogically, the famed British battalion of the Royal Gurkha Rifles
serving in Helmand. The best the Pentagon could do was to insist
their Secretary was "not criticizing any specific country." Groans
could be heard all over Foggy Bottom.
According to a recent study co-chaired by retired Marine Corps
Gen. James Jones and the highly respected career diplomat and
former UN Ambassador, Thomas Pickering, the combat-designated
portion of the NATO force in Afghanistan is far too small to be
effective against the Taliban's tribally protected guerrilla
forces.
PRESIDENT KARZAI'S statement to the contrary appears really to have
been meant as a gibe at Pakistan's continued
inability/unwillingness to deny sanctuary to Taliban insurgents. In
that sense it is true that more NATO troops will not solve
Afghanistan's complicated problem unless Pakistan can secure its
own borders with its northern neighbor.
Pakistan still needs to play the anvil role to the hammer of the
allied forces. Reconciliation with some elements of the Taliban may
be possible as long as sufficient pressure can be maintained.
However, the core Taliban cadre, controlling about half their
forces, must be destroyed in the field.
Hamid Karzai's government must be able to exert its authority
beyond the immediate environs of their capital. This demands both
political and military control through a cohesive strategy. Lip
service is paid to this goal by all parties, but that's where
agreement appears to end.
The truth is that more NATO troops are needed in both
training and combat roles. Absent that reinforcement, the broader
strategic aims are beyond reach. Afghanistan cannot be secured on
the cheap.
topics:
Military, Pakistan, United Nations, NATO