By George H. Wittman on 1.30.08 @ 12:07AM
Foreign investment in American businesses isn't a problem, but what about foreign government investment?
For the world of finance, sovereign wealth funds are just
another source of investment capital. For the world of politics,
SWF's are an increasingly worrisome development as they infiltrate
national economic and thus political structures.
These government-backed investment institutions represent
operational elements of what is in effect state capitalism. There
are socialist states, such as China, that acquired their wealth
originally through limiting free markets within their country and
pocketing the proceeds of their international trade. They then
shifted to a form of market economy and made money for the private
sector and also for the government. China's initial financing of
China Investment Corporation, its sovereign wealth fund, came about
through a simple transfer of $200 billion of the national
treasury's foreign exchange reserves.
The immense Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, with assets worth
about $625 billion, was created to manage a portion of the UAE oil
export income. Setting the recent tone, ADIA has put its money to
work in various financial instruments, such as the troubled
Citigroup. Other resource-rich nations have also spun off
government-owned companies to invest their substantial income.
Placing their nation's cash in minority equity ownership of
publicly traded financial institutions at bargain prices appears to
work out well for all parties.
It's hard to say how many of these sovereign funds exist. Some
countries do not have dedicated government-owned corporate
investment instruments. They invest in foreign public and private
corporations through other of their state-controlled agencies. The
Saudis, for example, are very clever about hiding their vast
sovereign wealth abroad. Some of the other countries that are known
to have SWF's include Russia, Singapore, Norway, Kuwait, Qatar,
Brunei and Iran, though the latter's is well hidden through
cutouts.
The power of the SWF government-backed investment mechanisms is
reflected in the best estimates of their collective assets of
between $2-3 trillion. One calculation indicates that if the global
sovereign wealth funds continue to develop foreign hard currency at
the current rates, assets will grow to be close to $10-15 trillion
by 2018.
POLITICAL POWER admittedly cannot be judged in a straight-line
fashion emanating from such things as asset ownership, strategic
placements in banking, infrastructure development and downstream
energy investments. Nonetheless, it would be willfully obtuse not
to recognize that such activities have the capacity to exercise
leverage in the internal political economics of the host
nations.
Investing in major industries and financial institutions
internationally is still the most efficacious manner to both
increase and diversify wealth sources for countries with limited
domestic investment potential and/or need for foreign exchange. At
the least it obviously broadens their international prestige. The
best targets for SWF's are well-established companies that are in
enough financial trouble as to offer an exceptional premium for
investment either through loan or equity. At the same time these
usually very large corporations must still retain attractive growth
potential.
The SWF's, as government-backed investors, purposely attempt to
maintain low ownership profiles. Generally, though not always, the
funds are not present on the boards of the corporations in which
they invest. At the same time the various funds' long term
objectives eventually will involve them, and their usually large
stakeholding, in seeking -- if obliquely -- to influence corporate
strategic objectives.
The entire concept of having foreign government-owned financial
instruments becoming major investment sources for domestic firms
holds within it the implicit danger of the development of political
influence with and through the recipient firms. This exercise in
state capitalism runs counter to the entire philosophy of
private/public ownership of industry that is the historical basis
of the American capitalist system.
While the influx of needed new capital is an advantage for U.S.
business, the fact that this financing comes from foreign
governments is a greater disadvantage. The same would be the case
if the United States Government gained ownership positions in
American firms in exchange for injections of capital.
Sovereign wealth funds are potentially dangerous instruments in
the political and commercial life of any truly private enterprise
western economy. This is particularly true for the United States.
Despite its possible economic utility and legality, to attempt to
justify injection of foreign government investment capital into
American financial, industrial and service firms is in political
terms a subversive act!
topics:
Trade, Economics, Business, Iran, Russia, Energy, Oil