By Philip Klein on 1.28.08 @ 12:08AM
Giuliani's odds aren't good Tuesday, but try telling that to his supporters.
VERO BEACH, FL -- Marie Muccioli doesn't get it.
She had just attended a Rudy Giuliani event at an
Italian-American social club here on Sunday afternoon that drew
hundreds of rabid supporters, prompting the fire marshal to turn
away latecomers at the door.
"I was in New York when he was mayor, and I saw what he did for
New York City," said Muccioli, describing why she is supporting
Giuliani.
The former Brooklynite who splits her time between here and New
Jersey but votes in Florida wore four "Rudy" stickers, including
one on her forehead.
She is perplexed by news reports that have largely written off
Giuliani's chances in the Sunshine State, because they are
contradicted by her personal experiences.
"I was campaigning and holding signs in front of the library,
and the cars were coming across, we got toots, and out of 10 cars
that passed, I'd say seven of them were for Rudy," she recounted.
"I don't understand what's going on. I think the polls are all
screwed up, personally."
In the final days before the Republican primary, the press corps
has narrowed the field in Florida to a two-man race between Mitt
Romney and John McCain. Their conclusion is backed up by polls
consistently showing Giuliani trailing in the double digits.
(Reuters/Zogby even had him slipping into fourth place, just behind Mike
Huckabee.) In another blow to the campaign, Florida Governor
Charlie Crist, who Giuliani courted heavily, threw his support
behind McCain over the weekend.
BUT UNLIKE THE DAYS before the New Hampshire primary, when Giuliani
was drawing small, sleepy crowds that reflected his sagging poll
numbers, down here in Florida, the former New York mayor is often
speaking to packed rooms filled with enthusiastic supporters.
Last Thursday, McCain took out a huge ballroom at a convention
center in West Palm Beach, obviously hoping for a massive turnout
for a town hall meeting. But before the event started, campaign
staff had to pull chairs, and there were still over 100 empty ones.
The event itself was relatively subdued, with just about a dozen
audience members waving signs.
Shortly after the McCain event, Giuliani spoke about 40 minutes
away in Boca Raton, and though the room was smaller, the crowd size
was about the same. However, the event was higher energy, with much
of the standing audience waving "Rudy Country" signs and breaking
out into spontaneous chants of "RU-DY" on several occasions.
The next day, Giuliani addressed a senior citizens' health
center in Little Havana for elderly Cuban Americans where he spoke
glowingly of the community for demonstrating that if people are
given the opportunity to live in freedom, they can overcome any
obstacles before them.
"Most of you came here with very little money in your pockets,
many of you didn't speak English," he said. "New country, very
different, very big, very confusing. But you brought with you
what's inside your soul. And no tyrant, no dictator, no bully, can
take that away from you, and you proved that."
As he recalled his actions as mayor, including his refusal to
invite Fidel Castro to the 50th Anniversary celebration for the
United Nations because Castro was a "vicious dictator," a woman in
the front row chimed in.
"You no just talk now, you talk before, before, when you mayor
of New York!" she shouted, referring to his long support for the
Cuban-American community, and the crowd erupted in cheers.
GIULIANI'S RECEPTION was much the same on Sunday morning at a
synagogue in Boca Raton, where the speaker who introduced him
reminded the audience of when Giuliani kicked Yasser Arafat out of
Lincoln Center and rejected a $10 million check from Saudi Prince
Alwaleed bin Talal after the prince suggested that U.S. support for
Israel was the cause of the September 11 attacks.
Donning a black yarmulke, Giuliani spoke about his long-standing
relationship with Israel and the Jewish community. He declared that
the only way there can be peace in the region is if the
Palestinians accept the right of Israel to exist as a Jewish state,
renounce terrorism, demonstrate that they are taking actions to do
so, and establish institutions of good governance. The crowd, some
of whom wore Giuliani buttons written in Hebrew, ate it up.
The outpouring of support for Giuliani can be seen as evidence
that Giuliani's position in Florida is not as weak as polls
suggests, or, alternatively, a reminder of his potential in the
state had he been competitive enough in the early contests to
establish himself as a viable candidate.
As Giuliani's supporters are finding out, when a candidate isn't
a factor for much of the presidential race, he gets written out of
the media narrative.
"Rudy is a good guy. It's just sad that they're not giving him
enough time," Muccioli lamented. "He's got such wonderful
ideas."
topics:
John McCain, Israel, United Nations, Energy