By Quin Hillyer on 7.26.07 @ 12:08AM
The Air Force should promote competition before it spends $100 billion to replace its fleet of air-refueling tankers.
Competition works to create better results in almost every realm
of life. Why shouldn't it work when it comes to military
air-refueling tankers?
This fall, the Air Force is expected to announce its award of a
contract that could eventually approach $100 billion to replace its
current fleet, which is seriously long in the tooth. Two major
companies are bidding for the contract, and the wisest decision
would be to give them both a bite.
The two bidders are Boeing, with its main plant in the Seattle
suburbs, and a partnership between Northrop Grumman and EADS North
America, with its plant in Mobile County, Alabama. By most
accounts, the Northrop Grumman/EADS plane (henceforth the NGE) is
"superior" to the Boeing one -- so says, for instance, industry
expert Scott Hamilton, writing in the Armed Forces Journal
in February.
But Hamilton is among the many who give the inside edge to
Boeing, nevertheless. For one thing, Boeing has been the main
builder of refueling tankers for the Air Force since World War II,
and so presumably enjoys an institutional bias within the Pentagon.
Moreover, Boeing and its supporters have been making much of the
fact that the EADS parent corporation is based in Europe.
In this case, frankly, their "Buy American" scare tactics are
nothing but tommyrot -- after all, the NGE plane would be assembled
entirely in coastal Alabama, probably providing jobs for people in
Mississippi and the Florida Panhandle as well. And Northrop Grumman
is, of course, an American company through and through. Yet none of
that may matter: Demagoguery, combined with the clout of senior
Washington State Democrats Norm Dicks in the House and Patty Murray
in the Senate, can go a long way in Washington, D.C.
NGE has fought back with a very impressive "spider chart" showing the superior attributes of
its plane, the KC-30. The NGE plane's basic design is about 15
years newer than that of Boeing, and respected outside analyst
Thomas P. White -- contracted by NGE in this case, but with an
independent reputation as a former Air Force lieutenant colonel and
former top Pentagon procurement analyst -- reports that its
capabilities exceed that of the Boeing KC-767 in a veritable host
of measurements. Those indices range from maximum fuel load to
maximum number of passengers (making it a dual-use plane) to
payload tonnage to fuel efficiency and "mission effectiveness."
The last four times the two planes have been in competition,
including for tankers for Great Britain and for the West-friendly
United Arab Emirates, the KC-30 (NGE's) has won.
Not only that, but Boeing's actual performance (on-time
delivery, etc.) in recent years has been anything but stellar. And
the whole reason the tanker is out to bid right now at all is that
the Air Force's earlier award to Boeing of the first $20 billion
contract for the planes was so rife with corruption that a Boeing
official and an Air Force officer went to jail and Air Force
Secretary James Roche and Boeing CEO Phil Condit both resigned.
Because of those shenanigans, U.S. Sen. John McCain was able to
force cancellation of that deal and force it to be re-bid.
Truth in advertising: What I know about airplane technology
could fit in a thimble, with room left over; and I used to live in
Mobile. But facts are facts, and the spider chart seems to tell a
clear tale of the NGE superiority. And McCain, undeniably a
patriot, has no home-state pork interest in the outcome, nor any
evident advantage to his presidential campaign in favoring one bid
over the other -- so his continued preference for taking the NGE
bid seriously should speak volumes.
ALL THAT SAID, THE BEST IDEA might not be to give the whole award
to NGE or to Boeing, but to split it up. Two good reasons
suggest themselves. First, there will ultimately be a need for
about 600 of these planes, spread out over several contract awards.
(The first contract will be for 179 planes.) There is plenty of
work to go around, and if two companies are building
tankers for the Air Force, both will have a major incentive to do
the work well, on time, and on budget. If they fail to perform
well, each will know that the contract for the next batch of planes
could easily go entirely to its competitor -- which, after all,
would have no new start-up costs or lag time to deal with.
Second, the politics of the situation actually should work in
favor of a decision to split the contract. Even though the Air
Force desperately needs a new generation of refueling tankers, what
is needed and what is funded can often be entirely different
things. Powerful Members of Congress have been known to kill entire
programs, no matter how necessary, out of sheer spite. To risk
having some angry senator kill funding for the tankers would
endanger our national security. Far better would it be to secure
backing for the tanker from all the Republican senators on the Gulf
Coast and from the Democrats in the Senate from Washington
State and from Illinois (site of Boeing's corporate
headquarters).
Competition works, and smart politics works as well. Both
considerations argue, quite strongly, in favor of using Northrop
Grumman/EADS as a major manufacturer and supplier of Air Force
tankers.
topics:
John McCain, Military, NATO