“We had over one thousand fires the last four days, burned
several hundred thousand acres, a number of structures damaged or
lost…” So said Marc Rounsaville, the Fire Service agency’s Deputy
Director for fire and aviation management in Washington. And
harried forest officials are talking about a relatively new term —
AMR, appropriate management response. The AMR determination could
decide an all-out effort to fight a given fire, or simply to
monitor it, or some effort in between.
How many acres get burned while AMR is being mulled over is up
to the computers and a series of informational tools to try to
determine, among other factors, what’s at risk in the fire
area.
Rounsaville says the modeling tools have been employed on fires
in Minnesota, Georgia, and Florida and some in the far West. Given
the extent of the Georgia-Florida damage recently, a trip back to
the drawing board might be in order, or maybe a gentle caress of
Chertoff’s gut would do.
One thing seems a part of the equation: wilderness may get less
immediate attention. Example: a couple of fires in the
million-acre-plus Bob Marshall Wilderness in Montana, a pristine
region along the Continental Divide. Last week a fire named “Fool
Creek” broke out and grew swiftly to about 3,100 acres. A District
Ranger in the Forest Service’s Rocky Mountain District in Choteau,
Montana, was quoted then as saying it would be tough for fire
fighters to reach the area. “We’re pretty much preparing for a
long-term event,” he said. A fire information officer added, “We’re
not just sitting back and watching. We are actively monitoring this
fire.” In other words, “Fire, don’t try to leave the continental
United States. We’re keeping an eye on you.”
By this week’s end, things have changed, as AMR’s are apt to do.
The Fool Creek blaze is now some 4,500 acres and helicopters have
dropped retardant, encouraging the flames to continue to burn the
wilderness region but stay away from a couple of forest service
cabins.
At week’s end, another fire was burning about 20 acres in the
wilderness, but closer to homes. AMR got more excited about this
one, named “A Horn.” Seth Carbonary, district fire marshal for the
Spotted Bear Ranger District, says 25 jumpers have been put on this
one, along with two ground crews, augmented by fire retardant
bearing airplanes. Carbonary says, “Fires are not a bad thing in
wilderness.” Echoing that, the Bitterroot National Forest Service
says it may not put out naturally occurring fires under some
conditions and in areas that might benefit ecologically from a
blaze.
The Forest Service hopes to have a meeting with insurance
companies to discuss the growing number of homes being built near
the woods in the hope insurers will help homeowners to be more
firewise in the construction, landscaping, etc. The Service’s
aerial capacity is diminished. It had 41 air tankers in 2002 and
has but 19 under contract today. Meanwhile, with drought stalking
much of the West, that cabin in the woods may not be such a cozy
retreat.
If you are burned out, and the surrounding hills and mountains
are denuded by fire, remember that old forester’s adage: “In 300
years, you’ll never know there was a fire here.”