By Jeremy Lott on 1.29.07 @ 12:07AM
Who needs the Libertarian vote? Anyone? Anyone?
Ramesh Ponnuru is sick. An ailment ("the crud") had put the
National Review senior editor's attendance at the debate
Thursday night in doubt, but he's decided to brave it out. As he
talks to the crowd in the Heritage Foundation's Lehrman Auditorium,
his voice breaks several times. He speaks slowly and pauses to
gather his words. He leans on the podium.
Ponnuru doesn't deny that some sort of "libertarian vote"
exists, but unlike previous panelist Cato Institute* executive vice
president David Boaz, he doesn't think it's likely to be a crucial
swing vote in any national election. It's too small and, more
importantly, "divided."
Libertarians who care more about economic issues tend to wail
and moan and vote Republican. Those who care more about social
issues go through similar motions and vote Democrat. And of course:
"Some of them are going to vote libertarian for whatever reason
people do that."
The quip draws a few laughs, and Ponnuru struggles on to make
his case. Over the last few years, both political parties have been
inching right on social issues, left on economic ones. Why? Because
elite opinion is slowly coming in line with popular opinion.
Ponnuru doubts whether President Bush could have been elected if
he didn't support expanding Medicare to cover prescription drugs,
or reelected if he didn't deliver on that promise. Further, he
argues that to get hold of Congress again, Republicans are going to
have to address voters' "economic anxieties," particularly about
healthcare.
He also doubts that either party will make a real push for the
libertarian vote because, "in political terms, it's like entering
an alliance with a leech." But he does think that libertarians can
get something out of supporting conservatives because conservatism
is in many ways more libertarian than it used to be.
It's not much, but Ponnuru argues that the present political
situation doesn't offer many better options.
THIS WAS SUPPOSED TO BE a two-track debate. First, an exchange
between a conservative and a libertarian, then a liberal and a
classical liberal. Moderator and America's Future Foundation
executive director David Kirby said it should be "a little bit like
watching a ping pong match with two balls."
But that's not what the panelists have in mind. Ponnuru warns us
he will "break the rules a little bit." The next panelist, Cato
vice president for research Brink Lindsey, also says that he might
"stray from the agreed upon format and talk more generally."
Lindsey wrote a piece that was published in the New
Republic last December titled "Liberaltarians."
It argued that an alliance between liberals and libertarians would
be possible if liberals would "meet us half way." He tells us this
because he wants to talk about some of the criticism, which clearly
stung.
"A lot of the commentary by professionals was negative," he
says, which is a bit of an understatement. Another panelist
tonight, New Republic senior editor Jonathan Chait,
responded to his overture, in print, by quoting Michael Corleone: "My offer is this:
nothing."
Lindsey uses this as evidence that the country's elites are
stuck in a deeply "reactionary politics" of both left and right. He
contrasts their stubbornness on economic and cultural issues with
the "deep preideological [libertarian] impulse in the American
electorate."
Out there in Real America, people want lower taxes and are
suspicious of government schemes. They believe in the work ethic
and personal responsibility. What they are looking for politically
is a movement that will embrace both the social change of the '60s
and the economic change of the '80s.
"No one has emerged to embraced this libertarian change in its
totality," Lindsey says, and he points fingers. Ponnuru and Chait
are examples of our bitter partisan stalemate that we'd do well to
get beyond
Lindsey closes by inviting the audience to join his "coalition
of the homeless: liberaltarians."
JONATHAN CHAIT RESPONDS BY SAYING that Lindsey has painted a false
picture of himself and Ponnuru as vicious partisans. They really
agree with each other about our current political situation, not
because they want to but because they are forced to by the
evidence.
He asks for a show of hands. How many people in the audience
thought expanding Medicare to cover prescription drugs was a good
idea "on moral grounds"?
Not one person raises a hand. Chait tells us that on the eve of
the vote, according to one survey, over 86 percent of Americans
agreed with the statement. Only 7 percent disagreed.
That 7 percent, he says, represents the upper limit of the
libertarian vote, and even that might be too high. He talks us
through Bill Clinton's successes in the 1990s, when he convinced
voters that Republicans were threatening "Medicare, Medicaid,
education, and the environment."
Chait says that the American people's "operational liberalism"
hasn't always translated into Democratic victories for three
reasons. One, the Republicans have a well-oiled "machine" to
convince voters that the Dems have bad character. Two, Democrats
have allowed themselves to be painted as wimps on defense issues.
Three, "Social issues are a bit of a problem."
Given the disposition of the average American voter, Chait
speaks for liberals in saying that a liberal-libertarian alliance
is "not an offer I feel like I can't refuse."
EVERYBODY EXCEPT FOR DAVID BOAZ has run long on their opening
statements, so Kirby cuts down the response time, and that further
crimps the time available for the audience to ask questions.
Boaz counters Chait's 7 percent figure by posing the question,
How many Americans would say that they were undertaxed? It would
likely produce a similarly lopsided result, which would not be
terribly meaningful for political operatives.
"I think all [poll] numbers should be taken with a grain of
salt. Numbers from Washington should be taken with an extra grain
of salt," Boaz says, in response to a question from the
audience.
One other fun conflict comes between Lindsey and Boaz. D.C.
Examiner columnist Tim Carney asks how they can consider
government-funded embryonic stem cell research a libertarian
position. Boaz says that, properly speaking, it isn't. Lindsey
counters that if the government is going to fund scientific
research then it ought to fund this. The prohibition can only be
based on sectarian religious considerations. Boaz jokingly
denounces him as a squish.
At least... I think he was joking.
(*Full disclosure: Once upon a time, I was employed by the Cato
Institute. I also donated money to America's Future Foundation,
which organized the event.)
topics:
Taxes, Education, Bill Clinton, Medicaid, Environment, Conservatism, Oil, Medicare