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Playing With Numbers

Terrorists and asteroids: John Mueller's overblown vision. Inconveniencing Al Gore. Changing the Gold Channel. Gays and Greek. Plus much more.

(Page 3 of 15)

/p> p> Philip Klein replies: br> The statistics and the analogy did come from Mueller, which is why I began my sentence by writing, "In his presentation, Mueller asserted..." I apologize if that attribution wasn't clear enough. Also, Mueller was discussing the lifetime odds, so that makes it a much more complicated equation than simply dividing 6.5 billion by 80,000. /p> p>Mueller also elaborates on the point on page 2 of his book: br> /p>
Astronomer Alan Harris has calculated that at present rates, the lifetime probability that a resident of the globe will die at the hands of international terrorists is 1 in 80,000, about the same likelihood that one would die over the same interval from the impact on the earth of an especially ill-directed asteroid or comet.
br> Right or wrong, it seems that Mr. Lepley's beef is with Mueller and Harris -- not me. p> LIGHTS OUT br> Re: Rob Bradley's
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