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First and foremost, the reason rouge States like Iran or North Korea want nuclear weapons is not to simply drop one unannounced into the backyard of one of their imaginary enemies via long range ballistic missile. The long range ballistic missile and H-bombs required to make them truly effective as a strategic weapon are more of a blackmail weapon or trump card to prevent the very thing you say will deter them in reverse. Simply stated it isn’t the nuke they will put on top of some missile that is the threat but the small one they will give to some proxy to deliver up close and personal to some place like Haifa or New York City that gets top security expert’s attention. The phrase “plausible deniability” comes to mind.
The second flaw and the one that greases the skid for the first is that the people we deterred with MAD were on the whole rational people and their leaders for the most part were the same. This can not be said of Islam in general and Iran in particular. The Islamic fundamentalism we are fighting is at it most basic level a culture of death and destruction and embraces suicidal brutality as a means to an end. That end, a better life with their GOD isn’t subject to our concept of rationality. To put it in pop culture terms, they believe it better to “die well” rather than “live well”. Your belief they wouldn’t destroy a holy Islamic symbol isn’t supported by the facts on the ground in Iraq or anywhere else Muslins fight. If you seriously believe Islamists won’t destroy their holy sites to obtain their goals then all Israel has to do to be safe is threaten to destroy Mecca, Medina and the Rock of the Dome and the problem is solved. Right? Sell that to the Shiites in Iraq.
The third flaw is in thinking that the producer and thus the source of a nuclear device can be determined and thus the ones responsible for its use held accountable. Please explain how a small nuclear explosion in Haifa tomorrow delivered by unknown means can be attributed to anyone after the fact? The radioactive signatures of all known quantities of such material are limited to those countries that play by the rules and register their materials. If Iran does not register its material or the signature of the exploded device can not be traced to a “known” producer then what? Does Israel just wack Iran with 100 warheads for the hell of it? What if some alphabet terrorist group claims credit for the device then what? Who gets wacked? Such devices require the manufacturing base of a Nation State to produce, particularly the small portable types.
The fourth flaw in your thinking is not listening to what the leader of Iran keeps saying. His rhetoric regarding the destruction of Israel keeps shortening the time Israel has left. When did Israel threaten the destruction of Iran in the last 58 years? What has he to gain by saying this and not caring through on his veiled threat? Israel has limited means to attack Iran in mass. We are in the way. Neither the leadership of Iran or North Korea may be as nuts as they sound but the people that surround them and support them are and have demonstrated their willingness to go to any depths to meet their GOD on equal terms. You are asking us to put our faith in people who have demonstrated they will go to brutal means to achieve minimal political results.p>MAD is not the basis to deter nuclear terrorism but it will be deemed madness to believe that if you are wrong. br> — Thom Bateman br> Newport News, Virginia /p>
Just read Tucker perspective of 11/14/06. It’s about time someone besides me advocated this line. What good has years of threats of one kind or another against both Iran and North Korea done. They know we won’t do anything and the constant unspecified threats just grow old. We have become the boy who cried wolf on this issue.
What we need to say is;
You want the bomb, go right ahead. You want to test the bomb, knock yourself out, so long as it is contained in your own country. You want to build a delivery system, have at it. BUT, if any weapon goes off any where on the globe outside your borders we will incinerate your pitiful country.
And we have to mean it. All political parties regardless of who is in power have to sign on. If a bomb goes off we will launch until there is nothing left to launch at. No question, no quarter,p>That’s how we put and end to this mess. Maybe one our fearless leaders will see this in the proper light one day. br> —
A man of faith in a godless age is hitting Americans where it hurts.
Mr. and Mrs. American Spectator Reader, let P.J. O’Rourke talk sense to your kids.
In Britain, defending your property can get you life.
The debacle of this president’s administration is both a cause and a symptom of the decline of American values. Unless Congress impeaches him, that decline will go on unchecked. An eminent jurist surveys the damage and assesses the chances for the recovery of our culture.
It won’t take long for conservatives to scratch this presidential wannabe off their 2008 scorecard.
The American Christmas, like the songs that celebrate it, makes room for everybody under the rainbow. Is that why so many people seem to be hostile to it?
Was the President done in by the economy, or by the politics of the economy?