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This article is one of the few I have seen that attempts to bring realism to the elections tomorrowâ€¦.
In reading the tealeaves, it appears the Dems should legitimately be looking at 24 pickups give or take 2 seats in the house and at most 1-2 in the Senate. This even looks optimistic if you only use polls started on Friday and completed today. With the 3 open seats polling almost dead even. It almost puts me into a panic if I were a Dem.
Additionally, the ignorance towards the key stat so far in the races. In the Senate, the Rep seats are moving along the chart to the rightâ€¦ and the Dem seats appear to be moving to the right as well. The fact that Chafee and Burns are in a tie, which even last Monday would have seemed farfetched, should be the signal of the bow wave. The Reps seem to have placed all but PA-I in the tossup category, and the Dems have had less numbers of for sure seats. The Reps seem to now have 47 locked down seats with 2 more as likely. The Dems have 44 locked down seats with 7 somewhere towards dead even.
My only other take is that the liberal media is making a lot out of this Democrat (democratic is a process not a political affiliation) surge against the Reps. But have downplayed the seats that the Dems may lose. If Mike Steele pulls out MD (I’d bet a lot of this is happening), it’s all over for the Dems in the Senatep>Lastly, let’s say the Dems fail to even take the House. How can they have fumbled 2 “gimmee” elections in 2 years? If ever there were easy wins it was ‘04 and ‘06. If they fail to even get the House by whatever margin, they are done donuts. br> —