The American Spectator

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Holding On Tight

11.7.06 @ 12:01AM

KNOWING WHEN TO HOLD THEM
Re: Quin Hillyer's Republicans Will Hold On:

I agree!!
-- Virginia S. Hudson

I read your article with great interest. I believe the Democrats will gain 4-6 Senate seats and 22-30 House seats. Hope I'm wrong.
-- Ron

I will be voting Republican on Tuesday but will be holding my nose as I do. If the Democrats were still a serious party with regard to national security, I would likely be voting differently. If Republicans do squeak this one out and hold their majorities, they had better not view it as vindication. I plan to let them know as often as possible that even though I helped bail them out this time, my patience is paper-thin. If they don't get serious about limiting the size of government by controlling spending and pork, protecting borders, and bringing many more qualified judges to a floor vote (to name a just a few issues) then I am done with them in '08, and I can't imagine I'm the only one who feels this way.
-- Paul Schlick
Maple Grove, Minnesota

NEWSFLASH! Republicans actually gain seats in mid-term elections. Experts baffled! Where could we have gone wrong? We were predicting this every day on the mainstream news outlets in order to suppress the Republican base. Could it be that Republican voters are smarter than we give them credit for? Do they not drink the Kool-Aid like our Democrat voters do?
-- Steve
Americus, Georgia

This article is one of the few I have seen that attempts to bring realism to the elections tomorrow….

In reading the tealeaves, it appears the Dems should legitimately be looking at 24 pickups give or take 2 seats in the house and at most 1-2 in the Senate. This even looks optimistic if you only use polls started on Friday and completed today. With the 3 open seats polling almost dead even. It almost puts me into a panic if I were a Dem.

Additionally, the ignorance towards the key stat so far in the races. In the Senate, the Rep seats are moving along the chart to the right… and the Dem seats appear to be moving to the right as well. The fact that Chafee and Burns are in a tie, which even last Monday would have seemed farfetched, should be the signal of the bow wave. The Reps seem to have placed all but PA-I in the tossup category, and the Dems have had less numbers of for sure seats. The Reps seem to now have 47 locked down seats with 2 more as likely. The Dems have 44 locked down seats with 7 somewhere towards dead even.

My only other take is that the liberal media is making a lot out of this Democrat (democratic is a process not a political affiliation) surge against the Reps. But have downplayed the seats that the Dems may lose. If Mike Steele pulls out MD (I'd bet a lot of this is happening), it's all over for the Dems in the Senate

Lastly, let's say the Dems fail to even take the House. How can they have fumbled 2 "gimmee" elections in 2 years? If ever there were easy wins it was '04 and '06. If they fail to even get the House by whatever margin, they are done donuts.
-- Christopher N.

From Quin Hillyer's lips to God's ears. The only problem is the Dems will whine about stolen elections for the next 2 years. Ironic -- since the only real evidence of a stolen election lately is the Washington governor's race.
-- Joe Hayes
Stamford, Connecticut

I agree with your article about the Republicans keeping of both houses of Congress. I base this on a variety of information, much of which you provided so well in this article. Michael Steele will win MD, keeping our Senate losses to 2 or 3. The House is harder to predict but it is my gut feeling we will keep it by 2-3 seats. One thing that is impossible to measure is the mood of the electorate on election night. Each election takes on a life or trend of its own. The Liberal AP tried to influence this when they reported false exit polling results. They knew if the country saw things swinging to the Democrats then it could influence later races. Fortunately we knew early on that the exit polling was in gross error.

The key this time around are results in VA and MD. If we keep VA and take MD it will set the tone for the rest of the country.

Time will tell,
-- Ken

Predictable outcome!

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