By Philip Klein on 10.13.06 @ 12:09AM
North Korea provides a cautionary tale for those who want to talk directly with hostile regimes.
As a war weary nation moves closer to Election Day, there is a
growing debate over whether the United States can benefit from
talking to its enemies rather than isolating them.
Proponents of such an approach are not limited to the radical
left. This past Sunday, James Baker argued that America should be speaking directly
with nations such as Iran and Syria. "I believe in talking to your
enemies," Baker said, adding that, "it's not appeasement to talk to
your enemies."
But the question is not whether the mere act of directly
negotiating with hostile regimes is appeasement. The question is
whether there is a reasonable expectation that such negotiations
can achieve something. Proponents of direct negotiations may argue
that there's no harm in trying, but rewarding a defiant nation with
direct talks may actually encourage more undesirable behavior.
This week's decision by North Korea to detonate a nuclear weapon
should be taken as a cautionary tale for why not to negotiate with
rogue states, but some have reached the exact opposite conclusion.
"If there's one overriding lesson from North Korea's apparent
nuclear test, it's this: We need to negotiate directly even with
hostile and brutal regimes," Nicholas Kristof wrote in Tuesday's New York Times.
Back in 1994, the Clinton administration, with the aid of Jimmy
Carter, negotiated a deal under which the United States and allies
provided aid to North Korea and promised to help it build a light
water nuclear reactor in exchange for North Korea freezing its
nuclear weapons program. Bill Clinton's defenders argue that as a
result of this agreement, North Korea wasn't able to access
plutonium from fuel rods, and thus its nuclear threat was held in
check until President Bush came to Washington with his "Axis of
Evil" talk, prompting North Korea to abandon the agreement and
begin using plutonium to make nuclear bombs. This narrative
downplays the fact that in 2002 North Korea admitted that it had
been secretly enriching uranium in violation of the agreement, and
that by many accounts North Korea had already acquired nuclear
weapons in the 1990s.
It would be one thing if the Clinton administration were
unwittingly duped, but the record shows that throughout the 1990s,
North Korea openly flouted the agreement and the administration
responded by conceding even more to the Stalinist nation.
In 1999, for instance, North Korea wouldn't allow the U.S. to
inspect a suspected nuclear site. To gain access, the Clinton
administration agreed to deliver 500,000 tons of food aid, which
North Korea described as an "inspection fee."
North Korea also used its development of missiles to extract
concessions. In August 1998, North Korea fired a long-range
ballistic missile over Japan and promised more such launches. A few
months later it stepped up its inflammatory rhetoric, threatening
to wipe American imperialists "from this planet for good." The
Clinton administration responded by easing sanctions on North
Korea, an act that a front page article in the September 18, 1999
New York Times described to as "the most extensive
relaxation of sanctions against the North since the Korean
War..."
Even during this time period, it was obvious to top
administration officials that Pyongyang was still developing
nuclear weapons in violation of the 1994 agreement.
A March 12, 1999 New York Times article quoted former
Defense Secretary William Perry, who was then Clinton's special
advisor to North Korea. In reference to the communist country,
Perry said, "What they are doing is moving forward on their nuclear
weapons" and elaborated that "We believe this is very serious...The
long-range missile program itself suggests in parallel the
development of a nuclear weapons program."
As part of a September 21, 2000 joint communique with South
Korea, Defense Secretary William Cohen said,
"North Korea's chemical, biological, nuclear, and long-range
missile programs continue to pose a threat to (South Korea), U.S.
and regional security."
Nonetheless, Secretary of State Madeleine Albright visited North
Korea in October 2000, where she toasted dictator Kim Jong-Il and
gave him a basketball autographed by Michael Jordan. The visit was
supposed to lay the groundwork for a later visit by President
Clinton, who was to negotiate another agreement on North Korea's
missile program, but time ran out on his administration.
PROPONENTS OF RETURNING TO DIRECT TALKS with North Korea may argue
that the country's nuclear program is further along now than it was
during the end of the Clinton years. The most obvious response to
that argument is that North Korea has had nearly six more years to
develop nuclear weapons, so it makes sense that it would be further
along.
President Bush still deserves criticism for allowing the program
to advance, but that says more about the failure of his policies
toward North Korea than it speaks to the wisdom of Clinton's
nonproliferation strategy.
Rather than being actively hawkish, the Bush administration has
been hawkish in theory and passive in practice. President Bush has
made tough statements about a nuclear North Korea being
"unacceptable," but has only responded by pursuing six-party talks
that are hopeless without China's cooperation.
The purpose of pointing out the failures of U.S. policy toward
North Korea in the 1990s should not be to score political points,
but to respond to those who want to resurrect the same failed
policy, not only with regard to North Korea, but with our other
enemies as well.
It may be tempting to believe that talking to Iran and Syria
could help the situation in Iraq and stall Iran's nuclear program,
but that's simply wishful thinking. Syria and Iran will never help
the U.S. succeed in Iraq, because a stable democratic Iraq is
against their interests -- that's why they're supporting insurgents
in the first place.
In the past several years, Iran has pursued a nuclear weapons
program in defiance of the international community. Its leaders
have spoken of a world without America and its president has
threatened to wipe one of its neighbors off of the map. Were
America to reward this behavior by engaging in direct talks with
the country, it would only encourage Iran to act even more
despicably.
There may be certain cases in which talking directly with our
enemies can be helpful, but such dialogue does not work like magic
pixie dust to fix problems that are intractable for a reason.
topics:
Bill Clinton, Iraq, Iran, North Korea, Nuclear Weapons