By W. James Antle, III on 9.29.06 @ 12:07AM
Ed King was Ronald Reagan's favorite Democratic governor, and he made the election of serious Republican governors a distinct possibility in Massachusetts.
On Monday, former Massachusetts Gov. Edward J. King was buried. It
is unclear how long his brand of populist blue-state conservatism
will survive him.
For the last 16 years, the nation's most Democratic state has
only had Republican governors. The conventional wisdom is that this
winning streak represents either the triumph of moderate
Republicanism or the last gasps of the party's Northeastern
Rockefeller wing.
In fact, while Govs. William Weld through Mitt Romney are in
many ways to the left of the national GOP, they are strikingly
conservative compared to past Republican governors like Francis
Sargent and John Volpe. Starting in 1990, they campaigned against
the suffocating liberalism of the Beacon Hill political
establishment.
But it took a Democrat to score the first points against that
establishment. In 1978, the liberal Michael Dukakis was wrapping up
his first term as governor. Ed King, a veteran Massachusetts Port
Authority executive who played a key role in modernizing Logan
Airport, challenged him in the Democratic primary.
King wasn't a typical Democrat. In one debate, he managed to
answer nearly every question by emphasizing that he supported
capital punishment and opposed high taxes, welfare and abortion. He
didn't need to have presidential aspirations to be pro-life.
As it turned out, voters were most disgusted with liberalism in
some of the areas where it was most entrenched. King upset Dukakis
in the primary and easily won the general election. For four years
he would wage war against the Boston press and members of his own
party.
"If God is with you, who can be against you, right? Except the
Boston Globe," he told the newspaper in 1981. King backed
the Bay State tax revolt, leading the charge for Proposition 2 1/2,
a successful ballot initiative aimed at curbing property-tax
increases. He refused to support Ted Kennedy's campaign for the
Democratic presidential nomination in 1980. Ronald Reagan called
King his favorite Democratic governor. King returned the favor by
endorsing the Gipper.
The King administration was a brief conservative interlude in
Massachusetts politics. Dukakis retook the Democratic gubernatorial
nomination in 1982, putting himself on the path that would include
such successes as the Massachusetts miracle and his famous ride in
the tank. Ed King was gone after only a single term.
Yet the electoral coalition he appealed to proved more durable.
Businesses and upscale suburban voters were groaning under the
commonwealth's hefty tax burden. Working-class families were
becoming uncomfortable in a Democratic Party that no longer shared
their values. Much is made of the shift of Southern evangelical
Protestants to the Republican Party in the 1980s, but another
significant source of the GOP's growth during that time period was
Northern ethnic Catholics.
Reagan carried Massachusetts twice and while native-son Dukakis
won the Bay State in 1988, George H.W. Bush beat him in the Greater
Boston suburbs. Proposition 2 1/2 presaged the success of other
conservative ballot initiatives, including the repeal of rent
control and bilingual education and the rejection of a graduated
state income tax.
The Massachusetts Republican Party was slow to adapt to these
changing political conditions. It still appealed to not especially
ideological Yankee Protestants and tried tow win elections with GOP
liberals like Edward Brooke, bounced from the Senate after two
terms in 1978.
Following Ed King's example, businessman Ray Shamie helped craft
a Republican Party that ran to the right on taxes, crime and
welfare spending, responding to the conservative populist concerns
the dominant Democrats mostly ignored. Shamie ran surprisingly well
against Ted Kennedy in 1982, setting the stage for a tough Senate
race when Paul Tsongas retired in 1984.
Shamie ultimately lost to John Kerry that year, even as Reagan
took Massachusetts in the presidential contest. But Shamie won over
a million votes and kept the margin within ten points. A Shamie
apprentice, Joe Malone, carried the GOP banner against Ted Kennedy
in 1988. Malone got trounced, but managed to build a strong enough
reputation to win the state treasurer's office on a conservative
platform two years later. Malone even carried the big cities of
Boston and Worcester.
The national press always concentrated on Bill Weld's support
for abortion and gay rights. These two stances kept social issues
off the table and probably helped him win such liberal towns as
Brookline against John Silber in 1990. But the heart of Weld's
appeal was always conservative -- he was against Beacon Hill's
tax-and-spend culture, a pro-death penalty law-and-order man on
crime and an early advocate of welfare reform.
Weld's successor, Paul Cellucci, was also a social liberal.
Domestically, however, he pledged to reinstate the death penalty,
veto tax increases and peel the state income tax rate back to 5
percent. The voters ultimately passed Cellucci's income-tax
rollback; the Democratic legislature has thwarted it to this day.
And Cellucci didn't exactly ignore culturally conservative themes.
In 1998, he campaigned against restrictions on the display of
Christmas trees in the office of his Democratic opponent, Attorney
General Scott Harshbarger.
A similar formula worked for Mitt Romney in 2002. He ran to the
right of Shannon O'Brien on taxes, spending, capital punishment and
-- although he was pro-choice -- even abortion. Romney scored the
fourth consecutive GOP gubernatorial win.
Here our happy tale may come to a sad end. Romney isn't running
for reelection. The GOP coalition is fractured, with former
Republican Christy Mihos running as an independent. Lt. Gov. Kerry
Healey is trying to run on the familiar platform, but her personal
qualities make her a poor fit for Ed King Democrats. The polls show
Massachusetts ready to elect Deval Patrick, a Dukakis liberal, to
the governorship by a landslide margin.
The issues that appeal to Democrats and independents who pulled
the GOP lever in the last four governor's contests are still there,
and Bay State conservatives have survived rough patches before. It
would be easier to be optimistic, however, if there were signs of
effective leaders waiting in the wings.
Ed King died a Republican. It doesn't look like he'll be the
Massachusetts party's only loss.
topics:
Taxes, Education, Business, Abortion, Law, NATO, Conservatism