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Nervous Time

Shooting the political messenger: Can the Senate be held? Looming clashes. Going broke. MacArthur's return reconsidered. Plus more.
p> SHOOT THE MESSENGER br> Re: David Hogberg's Losing Senate Races : /p>

Your article stated:

"Although Democratic State Treasurer Bob Casey has led in all the polls since February, in recent weeks Senator Rick Santorum has narrowed his lead to single digits. That combined with a devastating performance in his debate with Casey on Meet The Press, and everything seemed to be going Santorum's way. So what to make of the new USAToday/Gallup poll showing Casey with an 18 point lead? I'm inclined to dismiss it as a fluke..."

p>What you're missing from your analysis is the fact that the link to the USA Today/Gallup poll you provided is dated August 31st, three days before the MTP debate aired. Certainly, the poll was conducted before the results were published on the 31st. br> -- Jason /p>

Mr. Hogberg surely must either be Jewish or Catholic. He exhibits an excellently honed sense of "everything is going to turn out wrong." My guess is that he also has a finely honed sense of guilt to go along with his pessimism.

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