By Andrew Cline on 5.3.06 @ 12:07AM
When Iran gets the bomb, thank the U.N.
Either today or tomorrow the United States, Britain and France
will introduce a resolution to the United Nations Security Council
urging swift and tough action opposing Iran's rapidly developing
nuclear program. According to under secretary of state Nicholas
Burns, the resolution will carry a "stiff message" and express
"serious concern" about the program and Iran's refusal to halt the
program in the face of massive amounts of international pleading
and whining.
That'll show 'em.
Iran announced on April 9 that its uranium enrichment program
had reached an advanced stage. The Security Council leapt into
action. It told Iran -- informally -- to halt its program by April
28. Iran didn't.
Now the Security Council might consider sending a "stiff
message" that, the New York Times reports, "does not
include a fixed deadline for compliance or a specific threat of
action against Iran if it does not comply."
As the United States, Britain, and France try to use the United
Nations to keep Iran from getting the bomb, Iran tries to use the
United Nations to censure the United States. On Monday Iran's
ambassador to the U.N. asked the world body to oppose statements by
President Bush and Condoleezza Rice that the United States would
not rule out the use of military force, including nuclear weapons,
against Iran if it does not halt its program.
It's no wonder Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad thinks he
can use the U.N. to his advantage. Iran was elected one of eight
vice-chairmen of the U.N. Disarmament Commission on April 10, only
a day after it announced its advanced enrichment of uranium.
Here's the question: What does Iran have to lose by developing a
nuclear weapon? Thanks to the United Nations, most likely nothing.
Iran is paying Russia, a permanent Security Council member,
somewhere on the order of $1 billion to develop its first nuclear
energy plant. China, another permanent member, is a major buyer of
Iranian oil and has never met a despot its leaders didn't like.
There is no chance the Security Council would authorize military
force against Iran.
That leaves economic sanctions. Colin Powell discussed sanctions
on Britain's ITV this past weekend.
"I don't know that there is a very robust menu of sanctions," he
said. "I think that the menu of sanctions would be quite limited.
By sanctions I mean those that could actually get through the
Security Council.
"It seems to me that the Iranians have looked at this very
carefully, and they have examined their situation and have decided
to go forward even in the face of potential sanctions, which
suggests to me that they have pretty much decided that they can
accept whatever sanctions are coming their way."
And that means one thing. Iran is going to get the bomb. The
only possible way to prevent that outcome is unilateral action from
the United States, Britain, and Israel, and this week Iran mimicked
Saddam Hussein and announced that any military action against it
would trigger an immediate strike against Israel. The appetite for
a unilateral strike is nearly nil, and Iran knows it. Iran has the
upper hand, and it intends to play it.
These events are further confirmation that the U.N. is not an
international policeman; it is an international schoolmarm. It wags
a finger, utters high-falutin' scolds and keeps ineffectually
telling everyone to play nice. Meanwhile, evil regimes grow
stronger.
The myth of multilateralism is that polite, reasoned debate can
sway nations to act against their own self-interest. The current
Iran crisis shows otherwise. Wicked regimes will use the
institutions created by well-meaning do-gooders to their own
advantage. It is why the United Nations will never be an effective
keeper of world peace or disarmer of rogue states, and why Iran,
secure in the knowledge that the U.N. will not authorize military
action against it, feels free to pursue the bomb with impunity.
Thanks, U.N.!
topics:
Military, Iran, Russia, Israel, United Nations, Nuclear Weapons, Energy, Oil