Let’s check the score:
Yesterday in Afghanistan, Hamid Karzai was sworn in as that
country’s first democratically elected president.
In Ukraine, the Kremlin-backed ruling party’s attempt to steal
the election for Viktor Yanukovych appears completely stymied by
the peaceful Orange Revolution. At minimum, it seems likely that
there will be a re-vote on December 26.
In the West Bank and Gaza Strip, 1.3 million Palestinians are
registered to vote in the January 9 election of one of ten
presidential candidates seeking to replace the marvelously dead
Yasser Arafat. In Iraq, nearly 14 million Iraqis are registered to
vote for one of 156 parties running in the January 30th election.
As Bill Kristol has pointed out, commentators in the Arab world are
starting to wonder aloud why the Arabs with the most significant
voting rights are those under American or Israeli occupation.
Would it be pollyannaish, at this point, to be tremendously
optimistic about the march of democracy and freedom?
There’s more to each of these situations, of course, than just
the good news. Afghanistan is still plagued by a terrorist
presence, albeit a much weaker one than in the past, and Karzai’s
government still relies heavily on international military aid to
maintain order. The Ukrainian ruling party seems stuck on the idea
of constitutional changes that would weaken the presidency, thus
diminishing the scale of Orangeist Viktor Yushchenko’s likely
victory. And there remains the possibility that the revote could be
stolen, too, absent procedural concessions that Yanukovych and his
partisan ally, outgoing President Leonid Kuchma, remain reluctant
to give. The new Palestinian president — likely to be current PLO
leader Mahmoud Abbas, currently leading in the polls — may prove
little better than Arafat (though it would be almost metaphysically
impossible for him to be worse). Iraq still has its problems, as we
all know (though things do seem to be getting incrementally
better). And it takes more than one fair election to
make a true democracy, of the sort that doesn’t descend into
rampant illiberalism.
But the fact remains: The trends here are awfully
encouraging.
Two thousand, one hundred seventy-one years ago, a group of
traditionalist Jews called the Maccabees resisted the policies of
Greek tyrant Antiochus IV, who had outlawed Jewish customs in an
effort to Hellenize the Jews. They won an unlikely victory in the
name of their religious freedom, retaking, rebuilding, and
cleansing the sacred Temple of Judea, which had fallen into
disrepair. According to tradition, one day’s worth of oil
miraculously kept the Temple’s eternal light burning for eight
days. This is the miracle that we Jews celebrate during Hanukkah,
which began last night at sundown.
How appropriate that this year, miracles of freedom seem
imminent in so many corners of the globe.