By William Tucker on 7.12.04 @ 12:05AM
Is there a case for replacing him?
"We know what's going on in the country better than they do," is
the rallying cry of the new Kerry-Edwards ticket, and you know
something? I think they may be right.
Let's face it, the Edwards pick for vice president is the best
that Kerry could have done. The New York Post's fantastic
announcing of Gephardt as the candidate was just that -- a
conservative pipe dream. Gephardt would have been a perfect foil --
a stolid, colorless liberal who would bring along the votes of
twelve labor leaders. Kerry would have proven he was afraid of
Edwards' charisma and the Republicans could coast through
November.
But this is different. For all the GOP sneers about Edwards'
inexperience, this guy has exactly what the Republican ticket lacks
-- youth, charisma, sex appeal. If Republicans go back into their
shell and complain about press coverage, this whole campaign is
going to go up in smoke. (Remember, Bush has yet to win the popular
vote.)
All of a sudden it's starting to feel like 1992 again. The
administration has done an absolutely terrific job -- even better
than Bush, Sr.'s winning the Gulf War. W. has responded heroically
to September 11th. He has embarked on a daring expedition into Iraq
that looks like it might pay off big-time. He's done a magnificent
job of pulling the economy out of a major slump. You couldn't ask
anything more.
Yet the Administration is still in danger of blowing this
election because it can't communicate. It
has a tin ear. The day after the Edwards is nominated you pick up
the paper and find that Bush has just turned down an invitation to
speak at the NAACP's annual convention. What is the matter with
these people? Why not just kick a dog on the street and call in CNN
to videotape the whole event? I'm sure there's some obscure
rationale about how the NAACP did something to Bush somewhere and
this is just payback, but who cares? The important thing is 200
million Americans will get the message, "Bush doesn't like African
Americans." African Americans don't care -- they're going to vote
90 percent Democratic anyway. It's all those good-hearted people in
the middle who don't really care one way or the other but just want
to see people play fair -- they're the ones who will be affected.
Bush doesn't like black people. That's not nice. I think I'll vote
Democratic.
Even Maureen Dowd is starting to feel sorry for Bush. In a
marvelous column Thursday where she finally started getting sick
of Teresa Heinz's European snobbery, Dowd was forlornly offering
Bush advice:
Steve Holland of Reuters noted that Senator Edwards was
being described "as charming, engaging, a nimble campaigner, a
populist and even sexy. How does he stack up against Dick Cheney?"
President Bush should have knocked that question out of the park.
But he whiffed. W. should have given a sly smile and drawled, "You
mean you don't find the Vice President sexy?" Instead, he looked
irritated and spit out his answer: "Dick Cheney can be
president."
This is the way it's going to be until November. Nobody on the
Bush team has the slightest capability of dealing with the press.
Edwards gets 91 percent favorable coverage from reporters -- the
highest figure ever and it will probably get better. Kerry and
Edwards are beginning to key into that great Entertainment Central.
Rock 'n' roll concerts in Radio City, Michael Moore, the Howard
Stern stuff -- Republicans may turn up their noses at all this, but
it will add up. This is just what doomed George Bush, Sr. Bill
Clinton played his saxophone on MTV while President George Bush had
trouble comprehending a scanner in a checkout line. Clinton and
Gore managed to cast themselves as a couple of hip new guys with
something interesting to say. It wasn't true but it worked. Now
Kerry and Edwards are doing the same thing.
So here's the deal. Let's take Al D'Amato's advice and relieve
Dick Cheney of his responsibilities, putting John McCain on the
ticket in his place. Oh, I know Republicans are supposed to be
loyal and not screw their buddies, but this is hardball. Jack Welsh
didn't make GE into the greatest company in the world by sticking
with failing executives for sentimental reasons. Party insiders
will say we're panicking and this will only make things worse, but
that's what they said in 1992 about replacing Dan Quayle -- who was
always a drag on the ticket -- and look what happened.
SO HERE ARE HALF a dozen good reasons for replacing Cheney:
1) Cheney's standard expression is the crooked smile of a bank
president telling you that, even though he's known you for 40
years, he's not going to lend you any money. People may respect him
but they don't like him. His negative ratings are now above 40
percent, probably the worst of any vice president in history.
2) "Cheney is qualified to be President." So what? So are a lot
of people. And Cheney isn't that qualified. His main
strength is in sound advice and the ability to maneuver behind the
scenes. That isn't what a President does. Thrust into office, he'd
probably lose the public in five days. He's much better qualified
to be secretary of defense. Why not move him into that position if
it's necessary to keep his councils?
3) Cheney isn't really that fit to be President. How many heart
attacks has he had? And what about his disposition? Dowd reports:
"When he was stopped by applause at a campaign stop in Altoona,
Pa., on Sunday, he asked, 'You guys want to hear this speech or
not?'" And this guy is a politician?
4) Cheney bears the entire burden of the Halliburton smear.
5) Cheney used the F-word on the floor of the Senate.
6) Cheney's "other priorities" excuse for avoiding the military
during Vietnam is a time bomb waiting to go off.
And so forth. Putting McCain on the ticket would immediately
neuter Edwards' impact for the rest of the campaign. Edwards is
going to jab-jab-jab at Cheney in the debate while the Vice
President responds with sarcastic smiles that mean absolutely
nothing to anyone. Against McCain, Edwards voice will sound about
three octaves higher. He will be revealed for exactly what he is --
an incredibly lucky bozo who happened to come along just when trial
lawyers were becoming billionaires.
Also, John Kerry's four months on a riverboat and couple of
medals won't look very impressive next to McCain's Silver Star,
Bronze Star, Legion of Merit, Purple Heart, Distinguished Flying
Cross, and six years as a POW.
So what are we waiting for? The Democratic faithful virtually
forced Edwards on Kerry through their grassroots enthusiasm. Why
can't Republicans do the same? Does Cheney have a constituency? Is
Wyoming that important? Are we afraid social conservatives will
bolt the party and vote Democratic? (Cheney's use of the F-word has
hardly burnished his image there, either.)
The biggest mistake is to think of the two terms as one
continuous administration. Nobody wants "Four More Years" when --
despite all we've done to prevent it -- the past four years are
perceived as horrible. Cheney added gravitas to the ticket the
first time around, but this is an entirely different election. The
GOP needs a fresh start. People are ready for something new. So
let's give it to them.
Besides, there's nothing wrong with changing vice presidents.
FDR did it three times and won every election.
topics:
John McCain, Law, Military, Iraq, NATO, Africa, Oil