By Jed Babbin on 5.5.04 @ 12:07AM
There is a sense of disarray about Iraq this week.
That's what Big Dog called the abuse of prisoners at the Abu
Ghraib prison near Baghdad and, as usual, he was dead right.
Unfortunately, those words seem to describe more than the
outrageous and illegal actions of a few soldiers and civilians
there. There is a sense of disarray about Iraq this week, and those
who want us to fail there are doing everything they can to magnify
it. The Marines had the city of Falluja cordoned off for almost a
month, and -- having paid for the real estate with blood -- they
were ordered to pull back. We had one former Saddamite general put
in charge of a small new Iraqi force going into the city to restore
order and drive out the insurgents. But after a couple of days it
was clear that this general -- Jasim Muhammed Saleh - was
performing up to the standards of Hans Blix.
Saleh was chosen on the recommendation of some members of the
Iraqi Governing Council. But we later discovered a small problem.
Gen. Saleh had a role in crushing the Shia revolt America invited
and then abandoned in 1991. Somehow, Gen. Saleh -- garbed in his
old uniform and surrounded by red-bereted cohorts -- wasn't able to
locate any of the foreign insurgents and dead-ender Baathists who
have made Falluja a battleground that has claimed too many American
lives. Exit Saleh, stage left.
Now we have another former Saddam general, Muhammed Latif, who
is at the head of the 900-man Iraqi "force" in Falluja. The IGC and
Ambassador Bremer have apparently done a better job of vetting this
guy. Gen. Latif -- who spent seven years in jail for resisting
Saddam's orders -- seems a slightly better bet than Saleh. But only
slightly, because it's not clear that he can command any loyalty
from the few troops at his disposal, or cooperation from the
locals.
WE'RE FACED WITH one of the central dilemmas of this war: How do
you instill a sense of freedom and democracy among a population
that is -- at least partly -- tolerant of, if not sympathetic to,
barbarians who murdered and mutilated four Americans who fell into
their hands? As one Defense Department source told me, we have a
21st century military trying to restore order among a 12th century
population without turning everything into a smoking pile of
rubble. Every instinct tells me that we should have ordered all the
women, children, and elderly out of Falluja quickly then
systematically destroyed the pockets of insurgents that our
scout-sniper teams were locating. A 500-pound precision-guided bomb
does the job in a manner that won't need to be repeated, at least
in regard to those within a half a block. We were doing that when a
halt was imposed. Now we have chosen to test this "Iraqification"
option. By doing so, we are pretending that we have obtained the
results we should have in the past year, and haven't.
The Iraqis are unready. Thirteen months after the fall of
Saddam's regime -- hell, six months after his capture -- Iraq is
not ready for a new government, and a new government is not ready
for Iraq. There's plenty of blame to go around, but that's for
another day. (Or not. One wise man told me soon after L. Paul
Bremer was appointed proconsul over Iraq: "If you want anything to
be accomplished, never hire someone whose first name is
'ambassador.'") The issue now is how to push Iraq along. Face
facts: June 30 will be a symbolic turnover, not a substantive one.
American troops will be there for many years to come. Paul Bremer
will leave on June 30, and John Negroponte - until recently, our
ambassador to Kofi and the Kupcakes -- will take over in what may
seem a lesser role. But he has his work cut out for him, as do the
soldiers who will remain.
This Churchillian situation (Sir Winston once said that you can
always count on Americans to do the right thing, but only after
they try everything else) can't be fixed quickly. As we are
discovering, you can't make up for lost time when you're
nation-building. Lost time is just lost. The President tried to
make up for it by making his most puzzling pronouncement to date:
that the U.N.'s representative -- the anti-American Algerian,
Lakhdar Brahimi -- will choose the new Iraqi government. Those of
you who know what the acronym FUBAR stands for can derive my
prediction for the U.N.'s success. We will waste another year at
this, and then realize that we don't need more ambassadors and
diplomats.
WE -- AND THAT MEANS Uncle Sam, and our real allies -- need to
establish several things before Iraq can be stable enough to govern
itself. First, it needs security. Which means we need to protect it
from external threats coming from Iran, Syria, and Saudi Arabia,
and get the Iraqis to the point where they are capable of dealing
with the internal mess themselves. Second, it needs a functioning
legislature and courts, which means it needs something like the
Afghan "loya jirgha," an assembly of local leaders who choose the
new government and can pass laws and establish courts. ASAP. Third,
it needs to provide evidence of the functioning government
including the security, but also services, schools, and hospitals.
The $18 billion in construction money should be spent now to employ
restive Iraqis and help get their economy going. That is more than
enough for our new representative to Iraq, John Negroponte, to deal
with after June 30. The prisoner abuse matter makes everything
worse. It has energized every opponent we have and makes our
continued presence in Iraq more difficult, though not less
essential.
One general has been suspended, six soldiers are facing
courts-martial, and a number of others, including a military
intelligence colonel, will probably be prosecuted. The military
justice system is, in truth, better than its civilian counterpart.
There are at least six investigations ongoing, and there will be
trials. They can't happen fast enough, be public enough, or impose
sentences severe enough. Those few -- those miserable few -- have
dishonored the service of tens of thousands of devoted, brave
soldiers, sailors, airmen, and Marines and made their jobs even
more dangerous. Think of the next American soldier captured by the
insurgents. His -- or her -- fate will be horrible, and the
insurgents will say it is payback for what happened at Abu
Ghraib.
The Blixiecrats in Congress and our pals in the Arab press are
in full cry. Teddy and Carl Levin are harrumphing because they
weren't told about the investigation before it was leaked to the
press. They are trying to make things worse by saying that the
problem is much more widespread than any facts indicate. But the
seriousness of these incidents is not to be underestimated. At this
writing, there are new allegations that at least two prisoners were
murdered, and there may also have been abuses in Afghan jails.
The military justice system is cranking along, and it will meet
out justice to the perps. Those not under military jurisdiction
will have to face Iraqi justice. At least three civilians are
implicated, and one of them may have participated in one of the
murders. They should be held in Iraqi jails, and tried in Iraqi or
Afghani courts. Until then, they should remain in the Abu Ghraib
jail or the Afghan equivalent. As prisoners, not as jailers. They
are certain to be treated better than were the prisoners they are
accused of abusing.
[Nota Bene: On Tuesday, the junior senator from
Massachusetts was said, by his Vietnam-era Navy boss, to have been
a "loose cannon" while in the war zone. Said junior senator is in
no way connected to this column, the proper spelling of its banner,
or its author. Except as to be hoisted on its petard.]
TAS Contributing Editor Jed Babbin is the author of the
forthcoming book, Inside the Asylum: How the U.N. and Old
Europe are Worse than You Think.
topics:
Law, Military, Iraq, Iran, NATO