By The Prowler on 11.10.03 @ 12:05AM
Kerry laid off. Dean’s slowing cash flow. Plus: Florida up for senatorial grabs.
AFSCME HOW I FEEL
In the hours leading up to last Thursday's rumored announcement
that the influential Service Employees International Union were
backing former Vermont Gov. Howie Dean, his
opponents Sen. John Kerry, Rep. Dick
Gephardt and Sen. John Edwards made
desperate attempts to stall the announcement.
Kerry and his senior advisers, in particular, were furiously
calling SEIU president Andrew Stern. Their anger
and sense of futility built when rumor started to spread mid-day
that not only had Dean been tabbed by the SEIU, but also that the
Gerald McEntee's American Federation of State,
County, and Municipal Employees seemed destined to endorse the
diminutive one from Vermont.
"Kerry was apoplectic," says one of his campaign staffers. "He
just went nuts. We are just devastated. We knew SEIU was probably
lost after the summer conference where Dean and Edwards came out
ahead in straw poll voting of membership. But AFSCME was supposed
to be in the bag. We thought once McEntee got over Clark, he was
back to us. This hurts."
Kerry spent much of Wednesday and Thursday on the campaign trail
attacking Dean for his remarks about wanting to be the candidate of
voters with the Confederate flag on their trucks. Kerry's remarks
were tailored almost exclusively to minority voters, and even more
narrowly to the large SEIU and AFSCME membership in New Hampshire
and elsewhere. SEIU has one of the largest -- if not the largest --
minority membership in organized labor.
"It was pandering pure and simple," says a Dean staffer. "We
knew when we had Kerry playing the race card that we had him
beat."
Dean was desperate for the union backing, in part because it
will almost certainly ensure that his fundraising stays on track --
at least through the early primary season. Internal Dean numbers
show his online fundraising has dropped by almost a third in recent
weeks. Just recently, he hired Mike Ford as a
senior adviser. Ford is a grassroots campaign organizer, who has
worked with AFSCME on political campaigns in the past. He is
expected to play an integral role in organizing AFSCME members on
the ground in New Hampshire and elsewhere.
But slower cash flow won't be the story on Dean for quite a few
days. It will be about how Dean and his team managed to end run the
bigger -- theoretically more powerful and influential -- campaigns
to steal labor's support.
STAR LUST
Since Sen. Bob Graham's recent announcement that
he would not seek re-election in Florida, Republicans in Washington
again have been putting on the heat to higher profile candidates to
run in the state primary. Currently, former congressman
Bill McCollum, who was defeated in the 2000 Senate
campaign by Democratic Sen. Bill Nelson, state
speaker of the House Johnnie Byrd, state Sen.
Daniel Webster, lawyer Larry
Klayman and Barbara Sheen Todd, a local
county commissioner, are the pick of the Republican litter.
The RNC, as well as the National Republican Senatorial
Committee, would like to add a star to the mix. "This seat is
suddenly huge for us again," says an RNC political strategist. "We
win this and it may mean the difference between 59 and 60
seats."
A lot more has to happen for the Florida seat to loom that
large. Campaigns in Alaska and Illinois need to be stabilized and
put in play for Republicans. Both are leaning toward Democrats. But
even with those two potential losses, the GOP is looking to pick up
seats in South Carolina, North Carolina and possibly South Dakota
and Washington.
Last Friday, the White House was said to have made one last
pitch to Housing and Urban Development Secretary Mel
Martinez about a run in his adoptive home state. The
former county executive of Orange County is a classic American
immigrant story, and his Cuban roots would energize the
Cuban-American community, which has had its ups and down with the
Bush administration.
At the same time that the White House was talking to Martinez,
rumors were swirling that Rep. Katherine Harris
was looking at a primary run. Months ago, she denied interest. But
on Friday, she said she and her husband might look at the race and
consider it.
topics:
Law, NATO, Alaska