By The Prowler on 8.5.03 @ 12:03AM
Democrats poised to lose big in the Carolinas.
THE CLINCHER
It wasn't really a surprise that South Carolina Sen. Fritz
Hollings yesterday announced he won't run for re-election
next year. What was surprising was how old he seemed in doing so.
"He was practically unintelligible," says a reporter who read a
transcript of the now-senior senator's remarks, delivered at the
University of South Carolina in Columbia. "He couldn't put two
sentences together that made any sense."
Hollings was not gracious about his exit. He called President
Bush "weak" and as much as said that the president was a puppet of
adviser Karl Rove.
Senate Democrats in recent weeks had begged Hollings to
reconsider his decision, in part because of concerns that the party
was facing an already brutal 2004 campaign cycle.
Hollings will retire next year having served as his state's
senior senator for all of two years. The 81-year-old spent more
than a record 35 years in the Senate as a junior senator by dint of
the fact that he followed in Sen. Strom Thurmond's
footsteps.
As The Prowler reported
earlier this year, Hollings appeared to be leaning toward
retirement since he hadn't held a fundraiser for himself this
campaign cycle. His making it official all but guarantees that
Democrats will not regain control of the Senate in 2004. The
Republicans, who face tough campaigns in Alaska and Illinois, are
assured better than 50-50 shots at making up those seats in
Georgia, where Sen. Zell Miller is retiring, and
now in South Carolina. Rep. Jim DeMint is a
favorite for the Republican nomination, along with the state's
former attorney general Charlie Condon.
Former Democratic Gov. Jim Hodges was thought
to be a strong option on the Democratic side, though already
several other state politicians are studying the race.
CAROLINA STATE OF MIND
There is a belief inside the presidential campaign of Sen.
John Edwards that he reaching a point where, as
one staffer put it, "he will have to either fish or cut the line
altogether." This after Rep. Dick Gephardt
identified South Carolina as a critical state for his own political
future, as well as that for gaining the full endorsement of the
AFL-CIO membership.
Gephardt, who received an endorsement from the Teamsters late
last week, is trolling for further union support in South Carolina,
a state whose industrial base has been hammered for decades by free
trade initiatives and the like. Edwards had been focusing much his
attention on South Carolina, expecting that as a Southerner, and a
native son, an early win here would propel him deep into the
abbreviated Democratic primary season.
But Gephardt's need to get as much union backing as he can to
ensure his campaign's survival has seen him turn his attention to
the South. "Iowa is in decent shape," says a Gephardt adviser.
"Dean and Kerry will be a handful, but we have the organization
there. Now we focus on South Carolina."
Some Democrats are encouraging Edwards to pull back and to
prepare his Senate re-election campaign in North Carolina, where he
is expected to face a strong challenged from Republicans.
"It's getting to the point where the Senate races are looking
pretty grim," says a Democratic Senate staffer. "We've lost Miller,
Hollings, we may lose Edwards and maybe even Graham [in Florida].
That's getting close to giving the Republicans a real shot at 60 if
everything breaks right. We know it won't, but still. If Edwards
wants a future in this party, he may have to swallow his pride and
think about the bigger picture."
topics:
Trade, NATO, Alaska