By Jed Babbin on 12.17.02 @ 12:04AM
The president tried to draw a line in the Iraqi sand with the last U.N. resolution and failed. Saddam has defied the world yet again, and the U.N. is doing nothing about it.
So it's come down to this: British PM Tony Blair is meeting in
London with Syrian president Bashar Assad, one of the few people
anywhere who will admit to having Saddam Hussein on his speed dial.
Mr. Blair will ask Assad to carry the message to Saddam that we
really, really are serious this time, and that he still has a
chance to avoid war by giving up his weapons of mass destruction.
Good grief. The whining tone of this message will not be lost on
Saddam, or on Assad who is a major league terrorist in his own
right. Syria occupies Lebanon and Hezbollah operates from there
with Syrian support. Mr. Blair may feel some frustration. But
having to beg for seriousness at this point is a direct result of
the policy he and his buddy Lil' Billy pursued for the better part
of ten years. Vacillation and empty threats are what the world came
to expect from us.
The result is Saddam Hussein's current state of mind. In the
face of our military buildup, and the determination we showed in
Afghanistan, you'd expect that Saddam would do a few things. First,
he'd have made his WMD declaration with some small showing of
compliance with the umpteenth U.N. resolution requiring him to
disarm. By throwing the Blixies a bone, and maybe a couple of
chemical or biological weapons, Saddam could have claimed he had
complied with the will of the U.N. He would have been believed by
the willing, and could have relied on them do diddle us around for
months. But he didn't. He laughed in the U.N.'s face by declaring
he has absolutely no WMD. It's such an obvious lie that only Alec
Baldwin or Barbra Streisand could possibly be taken in.
You'd also expect that he would have quieted the action in the
skies over the no-fly zones. But last Friday the Iraqis set up a
"SAMbush" for our pilots. They baited a trap with a fighter flying
into the forbidden southern zone, and tried to lure our
interceptors over a cluster of surface-to-air missiles. Our guys
didn't fall for it, but had the SAMbush succeeded, and one of our
fly-guys been shot down, Saddam might have had a war on his hands
before Christmas. Even in failing, it was another demonstration of
Saddam's disregard for us and our intentions. He thinks that
America is still the paper tiger that he punched holes in for the
past ten years. But by these actions he is accelerating the time
table for his own demise.
Some months ago Saddam's former nuclear weapons program manager,
Dr. Khidir Hamza, told me that Saddam would share chemical and
biological weapons with terrorists in two circumstances. First,
where they couldn't be traced back to him, and second where he
believed that even if he was caught, the punishment wouldn't be
severe enough to remove him from power. Since then, I have said
repeatedly that this was the principal danger that Saddam poses,
and that it was a casus belli: a justification for war.
Now Saddam has apparently done exactly what Dr. Hamza
predicted.
While the Blixies continue to scatter their magic inspector dust
on abandoned factories, and refuse to inspect any of the places
where the WMD might actually be, there are new and reliable reports
that Saddam has given VX -- one of the deadliest chemical weapons
-- to al-Qaeda. He still doesn't believe that we will take him out,
and that emboldens him. But this action -- whether or not part of a
wider scheme -- must accelerate our timetable to take military
action.
President Bush is not someone to act rashly. While the U.N.
games go on, our special forces -- probably aided by their British
counterparts -- are already operating in Iraq. They're pinpointing
the real WMD hiding places, Saddam's SCUD batteries, and other
military assets that need to be taken out in the first hours of any
action. The precise positional data from global positioning systems
("GPS") gathered by the spec ops guys will create one helluva
database, which will be updated often. The information will be fed
directly into the guidance systems of bombs like the JDAM, cruise
missiles, and attack aircraft that will drop dumb bombs -- to give
us the ability to hit the Iraqis with exceptional speed and
effectiveness. Time is not being wasted.
At least not by us. The U.N. inspection teams continue to wander
over the Iraqi landscape, not even attempting to do what they
should be doing. I had another conversation with Dr. Hamza last
week while we were waiting to appear on MSNBC's "Hardball" program.
Dr. Hamza posed a rather simple question: Why hadn't the U.N.
inspectors asked to interview the Iraqi scientists who had been
involved, for example, in the earlier nuclear programs?
His point is well taken. If you want to find out what's going
on, you can save yourself a lot of time and trouble by talking to
the people involved. Even if they're lying, you can get some sense
of what is being hidden from you. If they tell the truth, you have
enough information to make some hard and fast inspections of the
places where the bad stuff really is. This makes all too much sense
to everyone but Hans Blix, who hasn't even asked the Iraqis for
access to the people we believe have been and are involved.
Blix is an utter fraud, and the process he is running is an
intentional delay. The president tried to draw a line in the Iraqi
sand with the last U.N. resolution and failed. Saddam has defied
the world yet again, and the U.N. is doing nothing about it. When
U.N. Resolution 1441 was passed, President Bush announced his
understanding of this "last chance" for Saddam, and it didn't synch
with anyone else's. Dubya believes that America isn't constrained
by the decisions of the U.N. He needs to demonstrate that it's his
understanding that matters by demanding that the U.N. meet to
resolve to take action against Saddam. Set a date, say 6 January,
and a deadline for action maybe a week later. It is unfortunate
that we cannot relax as usual and forget the rest of the world over
the holiday period. Saddam and his ilk will never give us peace. We
need to return the favor.
topics:
Military, Iraq, Nuclear Weapons