By Jed Babbin on 10.15.02 @ 12:04AM
Going slow could kill us in Iraq, as Secretary Rumsfeld knows full well -- and as his generals are being forced to understand.
Last week, Defense Secretary Rumsfeld ordered theater commanders
and commanders-in-chief to revise their war plans to provide for
greater speed in deployment and action. This decision is a
tremendous defeat for the Tommy Franks crowd that refused to move
beyond World War II in strategy and doctrine. Mr. Rumsfeld realizes
that the focused intensity of our forces, if applied with great
speed, can defeat Iraq and any enemy like it without surrendering
tactical surprise. This is very good news, because speed of our
forces is vastly more important than their size in the coming
Iraq campaign. And speed is also the key to solving two very
important problems. First is the apparent captivity in Iraq of Navy
Capt. Michael "Scott" Speicher. The other is what will happen to
Saddam's WMD between now and when we actually remove him from
power. If we are to have any chance of rescuing Speicher -- and of
seizing or destroying Saddam's weapons -- speed is not everything.
It's damned nearly the only thing.
Pilots find safety in speed and altitude. Then-Lt. Cdr. Michael
"Scott" Speicher ran out of both on January 17, 1991, when his Navy
fighter was shot down over Iraq. His family had to endure first the
"missing in action" report, then the finding that Speicher was
"KIA/BNR" -- killed in action, body not recovered. But rumors
persisted that he was alive. In January 2001, the Navy reclassified
Speicher as Missing in Action. Last week, in a move that critics
are decrying as war propaganda, Navy Secretary Gordon England again
reclassified Speicher as "Missing/Captured." In almost twelve years
of captivity, Speicher has been promoted twice in absentia. If he
is alive, he is now Captain Speicher. And if Speicher is alive, and
a prisoner in Iraq, today is the 4,289th day of his captivity.
England's October 11 determination letter cites no new evidence
about Speicher, but it holds one cryptic reference. It says, "The
cumulative information received since Captain Speicher was shot
down continues to suggest strongly that the government of Iraq can
account for him." England's memo has one specific meaning: if
Speicher is dead, the Iraqis killed him after he was safely on the
ground. If that is true, we may never know. But if Speicher has
survived imprisonment in Iraq all these years, his captivity would
have been longer than that of any Vietnam prisoner of war who has
returned. In his time, Speicher has likely been brutalized in ways
we cannot imagine by some of the most brutal and uncivilized people
the world now holds.
The people who may be keeping Scott Speicher captive have proven
themselves both brutal and cowardly. Those "crack" Iraqi troops who
were going to make the 1991 Gulf War a bloodbath -- the "mother of
all battles" in Saddam's words -- surrendered to everything that
had "U.S." painted on the side as quickly as they could. One group
tried to surrender to a Predator drone, another to a CNN camera
crew. They ain't the Wehrmacht, and none of Saddam's generals
reminds me of Rommel or Guderian.
The Iraqis' brutality was reported briefly and then forgotten. I
had been told one story by a retired senior NCO, an intel guy, who
I respected. But I sat on that story for the past four years for
lack of corroboration. It's now been corroborated by another
source. Here it is.
Pulling out of Kuwait, the defeated Iraqis did everything they
could to damage Kuwait and its citizens. In addition to torching
the oil fields, stealing everything they could lift and blowing up
buildings, they took about 600 Kuwaitis with them. None of those
people has been accounted for. What the Iraqis couldn't steal,
smash or kidnap, they killed, tortured and mutilated. Such was the
fate of the animals in the Kuwait City zoo.
The gent I spoke to was in an advance unit checking the zoo to
see if any Iraqi soldiers had hidden there. None had. But before
they fled, these barbarians took out their frustration on the
animals. Not having the skill or courage to stand and fight
anything that would shoot back, and not having the courage to even
get close to the animals, they machine-gunned the tigers, leaving
them bleeding to death in their cages. Some of the smaller animals
-- monkeys and others -- were left alive after having arms and legs
hacked off at random. Some were doused with gasoline and set on
fire. One Iraqi general used a small monkey for pistol practice. I
am told the crippled little guy lived for years afterward. These
are the sort of people who may be holding Scott Speicher and the
600 Kuwaitis.
Speed also is crucial to seizing or destroying Saddam's weapons
of mass destruction before they can be used or smuggled out of Iraq
in terrorists' hands. It is much less likely that Saddam will be
able to use these weapons now that Iraqi generals know they will be
tried as war criminals if such weapons are used. But the danger of
these weapons' being given or sold to others who would use them
against Americans is far greater. Once we demonstrate -- by
military action, not by words -- that Saddam is really done for,
his army will fold like a house of cards. But the WMD may be
bartered for money or even for Saddam's ability to survive and flee
to, say, the Old Terrorists' Home in Libya. Speed -- and the
unhesitating application of force whenever and wherever needed --
may be able to stop this.
Until the Iraq campaign begins, terrorists will be dealing with
Saddam to buy or barter his WMD into their hands. The longer we
wait, the plans to smuggle Saddam's WMD out and place them in
terrorists' hands will have a greater chance to succeed. When Dubya
says "go," our people will have to get this job done faster than
any other they have tackled. Today would not be too soon.
Meanwhile, let's all say a prayer for Scott Speicher, wherever
he may be. He has seen too much for the Iraqis to let him go
willingly. If our intel guys get word on where he is, only the
fastest spec ops action can bring him out alive. We have a moral
obligation to him and his family to try. Saddam delendus
est.
topics:
Military, Iraq, Oil