By David Hogberg on 10.1.02 @ 12:04AM
A once promising Iowa Senate campaign quickly going nowhere is given new life by a big dirty trick from the opposition.
It seemed like a missed opportunity. The Iowa GOP Senate
nominee, Representative Greg Ganske, ran the model primary campaign
for a Republican moderate. Yet, his primary campaign was unlikely
to be remembered since Ganske looked certain to lose the general
election to Democratic incumbent Tom Harkin. That was until
September 22.
On that day the Iowa media broke a scandal about the Harkin
campaign's involvement in a surreptitious recording of a private
Ganske strategy meeting. In Iowa, a state that prides itself on
clean politics, this has strong potential to turn the race in
Ganske's favor. That's heartening in that it revives the
possibility that the Ganske primary campaign could serve as the
archetypal primary campaign for Republican moderates.
Ganske's primary opponent was an arch-conservative former
marine, Bill Salier. Although Salier was under-funded, he managed
to build a formidable grass-roots organization among Iowa
conservatives. His campaign really began to gather steam in the
spring of this year when the supply-side group Club for Growth
endorsed him.
As it became clear that Salier would present a formidable
opponent, Ganske did not take a page from the John McCain/Richard
Riordan playbook -- i.e., imply that the problem is that the
Republican Party is dominated by a bunch of intolerant
right-wingers. Instead, Ganske's campaign launched a two-pronged
attack. First, it painted Salier as an extremist. For example,
Ganske presented evidence to the media that Salier was in favor of
phasing out Social Security. Second, Ganske emphasized his own
conservative credentials. He ran radio ads touting his vote in
favor of Bush's tax cuts and his support of Bill Clinton's
impeachment. The strategy worked: Ganske staved off the challenge
from Salier, and in the June 4th primary beat Salier 59%-41%.
Ganske set an example for future moderate Republicans: during the
primary do not criticize the Republican base; rather, appeal to
them by emphasizing your conservative values.
Ganske seemed to emerge from the primary in reasonably good
shape for the general election. A new poll in late June showed him
trailing Harkin by only nine points (50-41). Unfortunately,
Ganske's general election campaign turned lackluster. It went
silent on the airwaves between late June and early September, and
produced no criticism of Harkin that made a lasting impression with
voters. As a result, Ganske gained no ground. If anything, he lost
some: A Des Moines Register poll released in late August
showed Harkin leading 52-40%.
Enter Kathie Obradovich, a political reporter for the Quad
City Times. In the process of doing a story, she gave a copy
of a transcript (which she claimed she had received from a
"Democratic source") of a September 3 Ganske strategy meeting to
the Ganske campaign for verification. The problem is that the
meeting, held at the Savery Hotel in Des Moines, was supposed to be
private. The Ganske campaign quickly released the transcript to the
media, speculating that the Harkin campaign had either bugged or
planted a "mole" in the meeting. Apparently forgetting the
Watergate principle of "It's not so much the crime as the cover
up," Harkin campaign manager Jeff Link denied any involvement on
the part of the Harkin campaign. He even suggested that it was a
trick on the part of the Ganske campaign. But late Monday evening,
Link reversed course and admitted that the Harkin campaign had
obtained a transcript of the Ganske meeting and had given it to the
media.
The Iowa GOP began investigating the matter. By Wednesday, Iowa
GOP Chairman, Chuck Larson, stated that he believed he knew who had
taped the meeting. But instead of naming the taper, he coyly
dropped clues about the identity. The Iowa media picked up the
ball, and soon discovered that the taper was a Des Moines man named
Brian Conley. Conley, a former staff member for then Representative
Harkin in the 1970s, had been invited to the Ganske meeting due to
his association with the Greater Des Moines Partnership. According
to the Iowa GOP, Conley contacted the Harkin campaign after
receiving the invitation to the Ganske meeting. A campaign staffer,
21-year-old Rafael Ruthchild, encouraged Conley to attend the
meeting and asked him to stop by the Harkin campaign office before
he went. Conley did, at which time Ruthchild provided him with the
recording device.
By the end of the week both Ruthchild and Link had resigned.
Harkin was doing the "I'm responsible but not really responsible"
dance. He also dismissed the matter as a "Dennis the Menace" caper.
Yet nearly one-quarter of the first debate between Harkin and
Ganske, held on Sunday, was devoted to the scandal. In addition,
some serious questions are unresolved:
• First, was a young staffer fresh off an internship in
Washington, D.C. the only member of the Harkin campaign involved?
That seems unlikely, to say the least.
• Why are Rafael Ruthchild and Brian Conley keeping
silent? What is their story?
• Was the recording legal? Iowa law does allow secret
recordings if the person doing the recording is an "open
participant" in the conversation. (Conley emphasized this in a
statement released through his attorney.) But many legal experts
contend it may not be legal if the intent behind the recording was
to do harm. As of now, the police are investigating the matter.
• And most importantly, as Ganske asked during the debate
on Sunday, what did Senator Harkin know and when did he know
it?
Such questions ensure that this scandal will continue to "have
legs." That increases the chances that it will breathe new life
into the Ganske campaign. That's good news, because Ganske ran a
model primary campaign for Republican moderates. If he wins in
November, it will be remembered.
topics:
John McCain, Bill Clinton, Social Security, Law, NATO