Back in 1187, Muslim warlord Saladin threw the Crusaders out of
Jerusalem. Big Dog Don Rumsfeld is at war against another Crusader,
the Army’s new siege cannon that would be great for fighting the
Battle of the Bulge, but isn’t much use in fighting Saladin’s 21st
century descendants. It’s a war Rumsfeld must win, because it sets
the tone for defense budgeting in the next several years.
Walking around the tarmac at Andrews Air Force Base last
Saturday during the annual Defense Department open house I was awed
yet again — not so much by the array of aging weapon systems on
display — but by the people who stood by them. One, a Marine Cobra
driver, chatted me up about his small, deadly helo. Having taken
the stick, all too briefly, in various fixed-wing aircraft, and
failed utterly in flying a Navy helo simulator, I told him how much
I admired his skill. As you’d expect from a pro, he shrugged off my
praise. When one of the gents with me asked why the Marines had so
much greater success with the bird than the Army, I answered for
him: because they’re Marines, that’s why. He chuckled and smiled,
grateful that I’d said what he couldn’t. People like him — so rare
in the civilian world — were all over the place.
In one quiet corner was the Army display: an M-1 tank, a Bradley
fighting vehicle, and a Paladin self-propelled cannon. The Paladin
is old and tired. The Crusader was meant to replace it, bringing an
enormous amount of firepower to the battlefield. But the question
is, which battlefield are we talking about? In the Afghanistan
campaign, Gen. Tommy Franks has had to deliver a lot of weapons and
supplies to the forces on the ground. There were some odd things
the Spec Ops guys needed such as the leather saddles and horse
feed. One thing they didn’t need was a forty-ton self-propelled
cannon that has to be followed by a fifty-ton armored ammo
truck.
We learned from the Soviets’ experience in Afghanistan. For a
decade, they chased the mujahedeen around the hills, but their
doctrine chained their infantry to their heavy tanks and artillery.
They failed. When our people went in, their flexible doctrine —
not hobbled by tanks and artillery that couldn’t go where the enemy
was — won. What we did was to couple heavy air support delivering
PGMs (precision-guided munitions) with light infantry and special
operations troops who can move faster than the enemy. The Crusader,
and other huge and heavy weapons, can’t be deployed to where
they’re needed.
Army guys I know and respect agree: give them lots of close air
support with PGMs, and you don’t need Crusader. That’s precisely
the kind of thinking we need in order to match the dollars to the
threat. What we need are the weapons that people like that Marine
helo driver can use to defeat threats like the Chicoms and Saddam
Hussein.
Most members of Congress see the defense budget as more pork,
useful mainly to provide jobs for constituents. Two powerful
members who don’t usually fall into that category — Sen. Don
Nickles and Rep. J.C. Watts — are preparing to do battle with Mr.
Rumsfeld to save the $11 billion budgeted to build the Crusader in
their home state. They will lose this battle because Mr. Rumsfeld
has the high ground. We now need so much for defense, the only
question is what better use to put that $11 billion.
There is a very long list. The Pentagon admits to having spent
about $12 billion on the war already. That’s probably only about
half the real expenditure because it doesn’t count the combat
losses and weapons being worn out. We need money for missile
defense, and for the new aircraft, precision-guided munitions, and
ships to meet the threats we face.
As one of my Navy pals reminds me, fleet strength now is about
half what it was during the Gipper’s day. The Taiwan Strait is only
about 100 miles across. We need, desperately, to start building the
small “littoral” warfare ships that can operate in brown water and
in places such as the Persian Gulf, where the bombing of the USS
Cole is still fresh in our enemies’ minds. We have to
revisit the fleet’s mission, and start building what we need. The
Chicoms are investing heavily in anti-ship missiles, and ICBMs to
overcome our anticipated homeland defense. We need to counter both,
and soon, to help defend Taiwan.
We need to invest heavily in both defensive and offensive
space-based weapons. Our adversaries know how dependent we are on
our satellites for command and control. They also know how
vulnerable those satellites are. We now lack, and urgently need,
the capability to defend our satellites, and to destroy an
enemy’s.
We need to pay for research and development to make the weapons
of the near future as effective as possible, and to get the most
out of those we already have. Another battle is controlling costs.
The F-22, which was supposed to be about $50 million a copy, will
be at least twice that in price. With all the other demands on the
budget, it simply isn’t worth the cost. The Joint Strike Fighter
can be bought to fill nearly all the missions of the F-22, but its
costs also have to be kept on a tight leash. In this, and in
Congress, Mr. Rumsfeld will have to fight others in the
administration who see his budget like Clinton did — a pot of gold
to be raided for every pet project. But Big Dog has the president’s
ear. He should win most of those fights.
Mr. Rumsfeld has a good grasp of what needs to be done, and why.
It’s the “and why” part that should win him most of the
Congressional fights. Big Dog needs to fight Congress on its home
turf: in public. He’s a media fave, and should take every advantage
of it. That way, Congress will learn that if you can’t run with the
Big Dog, you’d better go sit on the porch.
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